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  • 學位論文

台灣鋼鐵產業的成長肇因

Causes the growth of Taiwan Steel Industry

指導教授 : 許松根

摘要


本研究採用Hsu(2007)產業成長來源公式來找出1964年至2004年台灣鋼鐵產業的主要成長來源,進而了解台灣鋼鐵產業在自然資源匱乏和境內市場狹小的狀況下,如何由早期規模小、技術層次低的產業結構躍升至全球第十二大鋼鐵生產國。 實証研究結果發現:國內最終需求的變化、出口擴張和進口作為中間需求的變化是推動台灣鋼鐵產業的重要因素。這些成長來源在台灣鋼鐵產業發展上歷經多次改變,1971年以前進口作為中間需求的變化是主要的成長來源;隨著進口替代的逐漸發生,1976年至1991年推動鋼鐵產業成長的主要來源轉為國內最終需求的變化;而出口擴張則在1977年中鋼成立後發展迅速,1991年以後因鋼鐵下游產業快速外移,出口擴張順勢成為鋼鐵產業成長的主要來源。同時發現進口替代可分為1971年至1986年和1991年至1996年兩個階段,兩個階段促成發生進口替代發生的肇因有所不同。前者在國內鋼鐵產業資金和技術皆不足的情況下,民間廠商無法滿足國內對鋼材的需求,經由政府推動二次進口替代政策,高爐一貫作業鋼鐵廠因此成立,促成粗鋼、平型鋼等鋼材的進口替代發生;後者則在國內生產技術發展純熟的情況下,民間廠商積極進入高級鋼材發展,來滿足國內市場對鋼材的需求,鋼鐵產業的進口替代轉由民間廠商所貢獻。

關鍵字

產業成長 鋼鐵產業

並列摘要


This research adopted Hsu(2007) industry growth decomposition to find out the main cause of growing of Taiwan steel industry between 1964 and 2004, in order to learn about that Taiwan steel industry jump to the global 12th big steel manufacturing country as it was less nature resources and was in a small domestic market . This research discovered that the effect of final demand domestically produced, export expansion and import for intermediate were the important factors to push the Taiwan steel iron industry. These factors have been changed for many times in the development of Taiwan steel industry. Before 1971, the effect of import for intermediate was the main growing factor. As the appeared of import substitution, the main growing factor changed to the effect of final demand domestically produced between 1976 and 1991.Besides, export expansion grew quickly after the China Steel Co. established, but the steel downstream industry offset quickly after 1991, therefore the expand of export became the most important growing factor of the industry. Meanwhile, the reason of import substitution can be separated into two stages. From 1971 to 1986, the folk manufacturer was unable to satisfy the domestic demand of steel products as there was not enough capital and technical, so the government impels two import substitution policy, when the integrated steel mill was finished, import substitution was materialized. Between 1991 and 1996, the home production technological development is skillful, the folk manufacturer develops positively satisfies the domestic market to the high-quality steel demand, The steel and iron industry's import substitution therefore transfers by the folk manufacturer contributes.

並列關鍵字

steel industry

參考文獻


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