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  • 學位論文

影響台灣資本市場成交量因素之分析與探討

Investigate and Analyze the Factors of Affecting Trading Volume in Taiwan Capital Markets

指導教授 : 倪衍森

摘要


本研究分析影響台股大盤成交量的因素,以國內外資本市場對成交量的影響,而實證結果發現日與韓股市比道瓊指數對台股成交量更有影響,技術分析之K值對開盤收盤與大盤的成交量皆由正向影響,而死亡交叉出現反而很有可能會因停損賣出而使開盤成交量增加,此外現貨與衍生性商品常常同時介入以求更高的獲利,尤以買權成交量對大盤成交量之正向最為顯著。此外三大法人買賣超對開盤與收盤成交量的影響投信反而較外資與自營商來的顯著。

關鍵字

成交量 信用交易 外資

並列摘要


This research is to analyze the factor of affecting trading volume in TSE, and theinformation related to domestic stock markets and foreign stock market are concernedas well. In this empirical study, we find that the opening market information relatedJapanese and Korea have effects the trading volume of Taiwan stock markets, ascompared with the closing market information related to DJ index. The technicalindex such as K value has positive effects to the trading volume including openingand closing trading volume. In .addition, investors might buy stocks and long futures coincidently in order to pursue higher profit, especially long calls have positiveeffects trading volume apparently. Besides, domestic investments institutions have more effects on trading volume as compared with foreign investment institutions and domestic dealers.

參考文獻


1. 丁誌魰、曾富敏(2005),以向量自我迴歸模式探討台灣股價、成交量、融資融券與法人進出之關連性,真理財經學報,第十三期,頁43-73。
6. 王毓敏(2002) ,交易量及波動性之關聯性--臺股認購權證與標的股票之探討,管理評論,第九卷、第四期,頁115-136。
9. 吳幸姬、李顯儀(2005),訊息發佈對市場的反應強度之研究,中華管理學報,第6卷、第4期,頁73-92。
13. 柯伯升、吳政仲(2008),選擇權上市對現貨市場影響之探討--以臺股指數與電子類股指數為例,管理科學與統計決策,第五卷,第一期,頁58-76。
14. 胡緒寧、蘇欣玫、蘇榮斌(2006),臺指現貨與期貨上下變幅對波動性之分析--GARCH-X模型的應用,真理財經學報,第十二期,頁29-46。

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