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  • 學位論文

董事會成員職能是否會影響分析師盈餘預測品質

The Relationship Between Function of Board Members and Quality of Analyst Earnings Forecasts

指導教授 : 張雅淇

摘要


本研究主要目的為探討董事會成員職能是否會影響分析師盈餘預測品質,並加入企業風險管理此一變數,觀察其與董事會成員職能對分析師盈餘預測品質之調節效果。參考過去文獻對董事會成員職能之衡量,採用綜合指標進行分析,並以分析師盈餘預測誤差作為分析師盈餘預測品質之替代變數。以 2012 年至 2016 年台灣上市公司電子業為研究對象,實證結果發現董事會成員職能對分析師盈餘預測的影響並未達顯著水準。另本研究亦發現企業風險管理與分析盈餘預測誤差呈現顯著負相關,表示良好的風險管理能提供較佳的資訊品質供分析師進行盈餘預測。

並列摘要


The main purpose of this study is to explore the relationship between the function of board members and quality of analyst earnings forecasts and join variable of enterprise risk management to observe the moderating effect of the board member function on the quality of analyst earnings forecasts. Refer to the previous literature to analyze and measure the functions of board members using comprehensive indicators, and the analyst forecast error is a proxy for analyst earnings forecast quality. The samples are selected from Taiwan listed companies in the Electronics industry during the period 2012-2016, the results show that the influence of function of board member analyst earnings forecast error has an insignificant effect. This study also indicates that enterprise risk management and analyst forecast error are significantly negatively correlated, indicating that good risk management can provide better information quality for analysts to make earnings forecasts.

參考文獻


吳安妮,1993,財務分析師、管理當局、及統計模式預測準確度之比較研究,
中文文獻
王明昌與周邦營,2014,公司治理與分析師盈餘預測誤差,建國科大社會人文期刊,第33卷第2期:19-38。
王韶濱與許明曄,2011,資訊透明度與財務分析師預測行為,當代會計,第12卷第2期:115-148。
台灣電子產業回顧與展望,工業技術研究院,2014。

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