全球化對CO2排放量帶來的影響:主要以OECD國家為例

自從全世界各個國家開始簽訂自由貿易協定後，由於各國的貿易活動往返以及各種產業擴大了生產規模後，就加速的開發森林資源及各種機台所產生的廢氣排放，基於《聯合國氣候變化綱要公約》（United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change，UNFCCC）裡《聯合國氣候變化綱要公約的京都議定書》的條例，在2050年之前將全球氣溫的升幅減少0.02℃至0.28℃為目標，而本搞則是以OECD加盟國（Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development，OECD）裡GDP值前43高的先進國為例，以1990~2014這25年的時間軸來研究是否加入了自由貿易協定後會加速或減少CO2排放量。本稿以Panel-data迴歸模型裡的LSDV、固定效果模型及隨機效果模型來進行分析，來探討加入自由貿易組織後是否會增加及減少CO2的排放量及是否對環境有更好的變化為目標進行檢討。

關鍵字

CO2排放量；全球化；追蹤資料分析

並列摘要

Since countries around the world began to sign free trade agreements, the development of forest resources and the exhaust emissions generated by various machines have been accelerated due to the round-trip trade activities of various countries and the expansion of the production scale of various industries, based on the "United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change." (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, UNFCCC) The regulations of the Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change aim to reduce the increase in global temperature by 0.02°C to 0.28°C before 2050, and this was based on the OECD Take the advanced countries with the top 43 highest GDPs among the participating countries as an example, taking the timeline of the 25 years from 1990 to 2014 to study whether joining the free trade agreement will accelerate or reduce CO2emissions. This manuscript analyzes the LSDV, fixed effect model, and random effect model in the Panel-data regression model explore whether to join the free trade organization will increase and reduce CO2 emissions and whether there will be better changes to the environment.