使用空間與時間關聯性之餘震預測探勘

On Predicting Dependent Earthquakes Using Spatial and Temporal Relations

大衛(Davaajav, Gankhuu)

指導教授 ： 黃仁暐

元智大學/資訊學院/資訊工程學系/碩士(2012年)

https://doi.org/10.6838/YZU.2012.00306

摘要

地震是在自然現象中最危險的災難之一，它有可能發生在任何時間和地點，而地震的發生是斷層的突然滑落造成，在斷層中先前連續積累的能量瞬間爆發觸發了這一現象。造成這種現象的原因有很多，而且在世界上也有許多種不同的斷層。有些地震發生在某些特定領域並成為主要觸發其他接近的地震，換句話說，即所謂的地震依賴關係是一個地震的發生可能依賴於另一個前幾分鐘發生的地震。在這個研究中，我們提出了一個PADE演算法，Prediction Algorithm for Dependent Earthquake，預測在特定領域的依賴地震的發生，以及可能的損害規模和可能的時間

關鍵字

地震預測 ； 頻繁樣式探勘

並列摘要

The earthquake is one of the most dangerous catastrophic events of natural occurring phenomenon. Occurring anywhere and anytime, an earthquake is the sudden slip on a fault. The consequential instantaneous emission of energy in the shape of seismic waves that was previously accumulated in a fault triggers this phenomenon. There are many reasons for this emission of energy, and many different types of faults in many different parts of the world. Some earthquakes that occur in particular areas become the main trigger for the occurrence of other earthquakes in the general proximity of the main starter. In other word, the earthquake which is called a dependent earthquake may depend on another earthquake which occurred few minutes before. In this work, we propose an algorithm PADE, Prediction Algorithm for Dependent Earthquake, which predicts the occurrence of the dependent earthquakes in particular areas, with probable damage scales and possible time in the presents of frequent earthquake situations.

並列關鍵字

earthquake prediction ； frequent pattern mining

參考文獻

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