本研究對償債能力影響企業經營效能與經營風險之關聯性作深入之探討。透過各企業之公開報表資料蒐集與分析,經營效能,償債能力、經營風險納入模型之中,依互動關係能有脈絡可尋加以分析,然財務比率眾多,績效也無ㄧ致之定義及衡量標準。因此,本文將以相關理論與文獻作為分析基礎,並尋找該三者之理論關係意涵,作為實證之依據。 本研究利用民國九十三年至九十八年間三十五家上市出事公司為研究樣本作實證分析,就經營效能,償債能力、經營風險等三構面建立聯立方程式為實證模型,避免因單一方程式所造成實證結果之偏誤。而在變數選取上,係整合過去文獻之相關變數,納入模型來篩選,避免可能變數被遺漏。故先以係屬縱橫資料分析Panel data,故以SAS電腦軟體TSCSREG指令作迴歸估測確定變數顯著性,且進行自變數間共線性檢定,及變數之合併,配合線性相關係數作路徑分析;再以逐步迴歸法選取迴歸式中之適當變數;最後納入聯立方程式來進行模型分析。 本研究的實證結果顯示,企業經營的過程中可能會面臨營運風險,乃可能是其償債能力不足所致,如果公開資訊是確實、且是真的,投資人、金融從業者應瞭解企業之財務報表,因無論是財務結構、經營效能,償債能力、獲利能力等皆與企業經營有密切不可分的關係,依實務經驗及實證結果,更能確定償債能力應在金融機構對企業融資之業務與投資人對企業投資角度上所扮演重要之地位。
The research is to analyze the interrelationships between business performance and operational risk through its debt-paying ability. Due to the financial data may not easily and directly be employed to investigate the interrelationships among business management potency, liquidity and operating risk, this study tries to detect their interactions by the relative theories and literatures .Hopefully, the theoretically analytical results would provide useful information for empirical study in the future. This study uses main publicly-listed distress companies during 1994 and 1999 as samples to analyze the performance, debt-paying ability and operating risk to develop equation into model to avoid single equation that creates inaccuracy. In selecting the variable, integrating the relative variables from the literatures into model to avoid the potential variables to lost. The result proves the potential risk, insufficient liquidity, during the business operation. If the public information is correct and real, the investor and finance company should be able to understand from financial report. Financial structure, performance, liquidity and profitability have closed link with corporation operation. Based on the experience and result, debt-paying ability should play the important role for financial institution to detect whither the business management potency of a firm to manage the operating risk.