以風險管理探討空軍影響飛航安全因素之研究

The research of the impact of air force on aviation safety from risk management perspective

陳信吉(HSIN-CHI CHEN)

指導教授 ： 鍾麗英

國立臺北大學/商學院/統計學系/碩士(2008年)

摘要

本研究主要是探討空軍肩負國家安全重責大任，而空軍武力之彰顯，端賴飛行器之運動，因此，為確保飛行安全，其各種預防措施為空軍建軍備戰最重要方向與目標。自民國85年起，時值空軍全面換裝新式戰機之際，以我國研發IDF、美製F-16與法製M2000-5型戰機共同擔任我台海空防安全，顯少有國家可以同時換裝三種不同製造來源的戰機，此舉造成飛安上衝擊亦前所未有的經驗。然而在戰機換裝期間，發生幾件令人遺憾的重大飛安事件，不僅損失了高價昂貴戰機外，更犧牲優秀飛行人員的寶貴性命及其所屬家庭之破碎與創痛，打擊空軍同仁士氣與軍譽，影響極為深遠。
有鑑於此，飛航安全的良善與否，舉凡「人」的因素，均與其有密切不可分之關係，本研究試圖探究空軍從事飛航安全有關工作者，從中發掘影響飛航安全之關鍵因素，運用因素分析、二元邏輯斯迴歸及路徑分析等方法建構影響飛航安全預防模式。並輔以作業風險管理機制導入空軍飛航安全預防工作，從中掌握控制飛安變因，提出有效改善空軍飛行安全之方法。
研究發現若要直接提昇整體飛安預防程度，可將國防資源挹注於國防資源挹注於組織因素與環境因素等項目將會有立即反應。不過若論及各項因素考量，將資源投入機械因素防制上，可有較完善飛安預防情形。此可作為空軍未來飛航安全預防政策之參考。

關鍵字

飛航安全 ； 作業風險管理 ； 飛安預防

並列摘要

This study mainly focuses upon the air force bearing responsibility of national security, while placing emphasis on the powerfulness of the air force, depending on the movements of their aircrafts; therefore, for flight safety, the most crucial direction is aimed at all sorts of precautions to be taken for preparation of war.
Since 1996, the contemporary air force underwent a whole new makeover of jet fighters, using models of IDF from our research and development team, F-16 from the United States and M2000-5 from France to be our country’s marine and aviation defense. The simultaneous changing of three different sources of fighter jets is rare, and has caused an impact on aviation security as it has never before been managed.
During the period of jet replacement, there were a few unfortunate aviation security cases of expensive jet loss, sacrificing valuable lives of many outstanding wingmen, which brought trauma to their families and their children with broken homes. This deeply affected the courage of their colleagues as well as their honor.
With the above example, the mercy of aviation safety is virtually based on and is very closely related to factors of human behavior. This study attempts to study those in the air force whose work is related to aviation security, and to further determine the key factors influencing aviation security via factor analysis, secondary logistic regression analysis and route analysis to establish a model for influencing the precautions of aviation security.
The established model can further assist and control the variants in aviation security of the air force via the operational risk management mechanism, providing effective methods to improve aviation safety of the air force.
Results show that if the level of aviation security is to be directly elevated as a whole, the resources of national security can be concentrated on organizational and environmental factors for immediate results. However, if one considers all other possible factors and invests the resources on mechanical factor prevention, aviation security precautions can be more intact.
The study results can be used for future reference in aviation security precaution policies of the air force.

並列關鍵字

aviation security ； operational risk management ； precautions of aviation security

參考文獻

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