莫拉克颱風災後農業部門回復力研究：以南臺灣為例

A Study of Resilience of Agricultural Sector in the Aftermath of Typhoon Morakot: A Case Study in Southern Taiwan

藍燕萱(Yen-Hsuan Lan)

指導教授 ： 洪鴻智

共同指導教授 ： 黃書禮(Shu-Li Huang)

國立臺北大學/公共事務學院/都市計劃研究所/碩士(2013年)

摘要

2009年8月莫拉克颱風重創南臺灣地區，是近50年來最嚴重的風災。本研究希望探討農業部門是如何面對風災的威脅，是否有面對災害的回復能力，且災後的調適策略及回復情形又是如何。研究以社經與自然環境、農業部門相關資料及莫拉克颱風災害損失作為分析基礎，利用迴歸模型進行量化分析。透過統計分析瞭解農業部門受莫拉克颱風影響及影響回復力的主要因子，本文主要目的，在於建構符合農地特性，且適合衡量農地回復力之評估變數。以作為提供農業部門政策研擬、軟硬體建設及調適策略擬定之參考，提升農業部門回復力，達到永續發展的目標。分析結果發現農戶人口數、農畜產品銷售金額、低收入農牧戶、農業附屬設施及災害損失，是影響農業部門回復力的關鍵因子。

關鍵字

回復力 ； 農業部門 ； 莫拉克颱風

並列摘要

In August, 2009 Typhoon Morakot catastrophically hit the Southern Taiwan which can be regarded as the most severely storm for the past fifty years. This study is to investigate how the Agricultural sector faced the threat of the storms, whether has the capability of resilience confronting the disaster, and to observe how the post-disaster situations and adaptation strategies are implemented. The research is based on the documentations of socio-economic, environment and the Agricultural Sector by the quantitative analysis with the multiple regression models. Through statistical analysis discovering the main factors that the Agricultural sector is affected by Typhoon Morakot and resilience, the main purpose of this study is to set up the evaluation principles which fit the identity of lands and also the resilience suitable for measuring the assessment criteria. It can be provided as references of policy making, software and hardware constructions and adaptation strategies making for the Agricultural sector in order to enhance resilience, and to achieve the goal of sustainable development. The analysis result discovers that the vital factors which impacts on the resilience of the Agricultural sector are: the population of agriculture, amount of agriculture products, low income of agriculture and livestock farming, as well as the facilities of agriculture and its disaster lost.

並列關鍵字

Resilience ； Agricultural Sector ； Typhoon Morakot

參考文獻

行政院農業委員會(2009), 農業統計年報,

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