台灣石化產業競爭力與結構變化之分析

A Study of Competitiveness and Structural Change in Taiwan’s Petrochemical Industry

施信甫(Hsin-Fu Shin)

指導教授 ： 洪振義

朝陽科技大學/管理學院/財務金融系/碩士(2011年)

摘要

本研究運用貿易競爭力指標與產業關聯分析法，觀察其貿易關係變化。以台灣與中國、韓國、東亞貿易活動為焦點，首先以「貿易結合度」與「產業內貿易」分析貿易型態及分工程度，瞭解其互補關係，再以「貿易專業化」分析石化產業的國際競爭力強弱，最後分析競爭力指標與產業關聯的相關性。實證結果顯示，台灣在加盟WTO後對中國與韓國貿易緊密度高於世界平均水準。與中國相較下，台灣石化產業具有優勢；而與韓國相較下，台灣石化產業不具有優勢，競爭力比韓國弱；再以台灣、中國與韓國對東亞作比較，顯示台灣與韓國是競爭關係，而跟中國以互補關係存在著。
在產業關聯分析上，貿易結合度指數越高，會使得要因分解模型的輸出要因隨之升高；產業內貿易指數越高表示進出口差異越小，致使要因分解模型的輸入要因也越小；而貿易專業化指數越大表示其競爭力越強，對要因分解模型的總成長也會隨之上升。

關鍵字

產業關聯分析 ； 貿易專業化 ； 貿易結合度 ； 產業內貿易

並列摘要

This research is use trade competitiveness index and input-output analysis to observe the changes in trade relations. Take Taiwan and Chinese, South Korean, the East Asian trade activity as a focal point. First, analysis the trade patterns and the division of labor to understand the complementary relationship by the TII (Trade Intensity Index) and IIT(Index of Intra-industry Trade). TSI (Trade Specialization Index) analyzed to the international competitiveness of strength by the petrochemical industry. Found by the empirical results, the trade intensity index exceeds world average level which the China and South Korea in after Taiwan joined the WTO. Compared with China, Taiwan has more advantage in petrochemical industry. But compared with South Korea, Taiwan does not have advantage the competitiveness is weaker than South Korea in petrochemical industry. Again by Taiwan, China and South Korea makes the comparison to East Asia to demonstrate that Taiwan and South Korea are the competition relations, but exists with China by the supplementary relations.
In the input-output analysis, the TII (Trade Intensity Index) will be higher cause the output factor to elevate along with it by growing factor model. The IIT(Index of Intra-industry Trade)will be higher expression difference between import and export is smaller, the cause input factor is also smaller by growing factor model. The TSI (Trade Specialization Index) will be bigger expressed that its competitiveness is stronger, will always grow also along with it rise by growing factor model.

並列關鍵字

input-output ； trade specialization ； intra-industry trade ； trade intensity

參考文獻

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