預售屋及新成屋價格因素及趨勢之研究-以2019-2020台中市房地產為例

A research on the pricing factors and trends of presale houses and newly constructed houses-A empirical study of 2019-2020 Taichung real estate market

吳杬杰(Yuan- Chieh Wu)

指導教授 ： 張阜民

朝陽科技大學/管理學院/財務金融系/碩士(2020年)

摘要

台灣房價節節上升，高房價讓很多年輕人都買不起房，且目前市場上普遍認為少子化及空屋率對房價應有壓抑的作用，但台北、桃園、台中、台南、高雄及新竹，新房子卻一間間的蓋起來。為什麼建商還是對房地產市場有這麼大的信心?消費者對於預售屋及新成屋，該如何挑選?預售屋及新成屋趨勢為何?這是一個值得探討的問題。
本文收集相關資料，以2019-2020台中房地產市場為例，探討預售屋及新成屋價格因素及趨勢。統計資料顯示，在六都方面，以2019年第四季為基準，相較於2019年第三季全國，新北及台中呈現價漲量縮，新竹、高雄、台南、桃園，呈現價量俱漲，台北呈現價量俱跌，相較於2018年第四季，高雄、台中、台南、新北，及全國均呈現價量俱漲，台北、新竹及桃園呈現價跌量增，台中市以2019年第四季與2018年第四季及2019年第三季比較均呈現價漲的情況，惟2019年第三季出現量縮的情況。

關鍵字

預售屋 ； 新成屋 ； 重劃區

並列摘要

Taiwan’s house prices are rising. High house prices make that many young people cannot afford to buy a house. The current market is generally believed that the few children and empty housing rate should have a repressive effect on housing prices, but a lot of new houses are built in Taipei, Taoyuan, Taichung, Tainan, Kaohsiung and Hsinchu. Why do housing enterprises still have so much confidence in the real estate market? How should consumers choose between pre-sale and newly houses? What is the trend of pre-sale and new houses? This is a question worth exploring.
This paper collects relevant information and takes the 2019-2020 real estate market as an example to explore the pre-sale and new housing price factors and trends. Statistics showed that in the six capitals, as compared to the third quarter of 2019, in the fourth quarter of 2019, New Taipei City and Taichung presented that trading volumes increase and trading prices decrease; Hsinchu, Kaohsiung, Tainan and Taoyuan presented that both trading volumes and prices increase; Taipei presented that both trading volumes and prices decrease. As compared to the fourth quarter of 2018, in the fourth quarter of 2019, Kaohsiung, Taichung, Tainan, New Taipei City, and all country presented that both trading volumes and prices increase; Taipei, Hsinchu and Taoyuan presented that trading volumes increase and trading prices decrease. In all districts of Taichung, the current cases concentrated in Beitun district, Nantun distract and Xitun district and all focused on the peripheral rezoning area.

並列關鍵字

Pre-sale of the house ； A new house ； Rezone

參考文獻

參考中文文獻

王東山(2007)，台中市房地產發展分析，逢甲大學公共政策研究所碩士論文。

蔡育政(2009)，影響房地產價格因素之研究:以台中市西屯區、南屯區、中區、東區為例，朝陽科技大學財務金融系碩士論文。

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