本研究以台灣之股票市場為實證對象,應用 Engle (2002) 動態條件相關(dynamic conditional correlation, DCC) 雙變量 GARCH-M 模型估計探討美國、英國、法國、德國等歐美國家股市在金融海嘯期間相關係數變化的時間效應。研究期間為2005年1月1日至2013年10月24日,選取各國股價指數共同交易日,共有2071筆日報酬資料。實證結果指出:在金融海嘯期間,歐美股市顯著影響台灣股票市場。
This paper takes the sample of Taiwan stock markets to discuss the United States, the United Kingdom, France, and Germany stock market’s influence on the Taiwan stock market and to consider the reward of transfer effect. Research period was from January 1, 2005 to October 24, 2013, and the selection is the common trading days among the countries with total 2071 date reward material. This paper using a dynamic conditional correlation bivariate GARCH model that simultaneously estimates time-varying correlation .