本研究利用E-GARCH-M模型,探討台幣升值對元大金控ETF股票報酬之不對稱分析,資料來源為台灣經濟新報。實證指出本研究採用Granger對因果關係的檢定方法,藉此判斷兩變數之變動率是具單向或雙向關係。由表5之Granger模型檢定發現,在10%的顯著水準下,台幣升值對0050 元大台灣50和0053 元大電子具雙向顯著的影響。台幣升值對0051 元大中型100、0054 元大台商50、0055 元大MSCI金融、0056 元大高股息、0061 元大寶滬深、006201 元大富櫃50、006203 元大MSCI台灣、006206 元大上證50有單向顯著的影響,符合研究假說2。
This study uses the E-GARCH-M model to explore the asymmetry analysis of the appreciation of the Taiwan dollar on Yuanta Financial’s ETF stock return. The source of the data is the Taiwan Economic News. The empirical evidence points out that this study adopts Granger's causality test method to determine whether the rate of change of two variables has a one-way or two-way relationship. From Table 5 the Granger model verification , found that at a significant, The appreciation of the NT dollar has a significant impact on 0050, New Taiwan 50 and 0053. The appreciation of the NT dollar is 0051 large and medium-sized 100, 0054 large Taiwan 50, 0055 MSCI financial, 0056 high dividend, 0061 Shanghai and Shenzhen, 006201 counter 50, 006203 MSCI Taiwan, 006206 SSE 50 has a significant impact, which is in line with research hypothesis 2.