- 學位論文
從中國的崛起與東協FTA來看兩岸的ECFA
An Overview of the Taiwan-China ECFA, From the Rising of China and ASEAN FTA
摘要
隨著時代的演進，以往各國在國際上的紛爭相抗已不復見，取而代之的是自由貿易協定簽訂後的密切合作，當中唯歐洲聯盟（European Union, EU）和北美自由貿易區（North American Free Trade Area, NAFTA）為規模較大和成功的實例，而在東亞地區的經濟整合，則是由東南亞國家所成立的東協首開先例，往後在中國的經濟崛起下，不斷對週邊國家示好，積極地與各國洽簽自由貿易協定，當中最備受全球關注的即中國與東協FTA。單就從協議字面上來看似乎是單純的經濟合作，然而在中國處心積慮下，政治動機恐怕才是令人畏懼的，這點在中國與台灣的ECFA上同樣亦是值得探討的。有鑑於此，蒐集中國-東協FTA與中國-台灣ECFA相關資料，探討下列三點為本研究目的：1.了解整體東亞經濟整合概況，再分析東協現況發展與當下目前最受全球關注的東協加一。2.深入了解中國－東協FTA及中國－台灣ECFA。3.針對中國－東協FTA與中國－台灣ECFA比較雙方在洽簽的立場上之異同。並針對本研究之目的，以文獻分析法作為研究方法，以驗證彼此洽簽協議上政經的差異性。 透過研究發現，中國在和東協與台灣的協議中，其政治背景上，在中國形象的改善、區域戰略思維、策略思維層面上是有相似和差異處的，另外在經濟影響方面，FDI的增加、相互依賴性、市場未來性三方面，同樣亦是有異同之處，然就以經濟層面來看，對東協及台灣來說，無疑一項經濟成長的轉機，但同時所隱含的政治因素卻也可能是造成危機的最大風險。
並列摘要
Along with the progression of time, the dispute and confrontation among countries disappears, it is now replaced by the close cooperation after signing free trade agreements. European Union, EU and North American Free Trade Area, NAFTA are the successful model with greater scale. The economic in-tegration amongst East Asia countries started from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, ASEAN, which was formed by South East Asia countries. Lat-ter, as the rising of its economic power, China keeps good intention toward its neighborhood countries, actively approaches and signs free trade agreements with different countries. The most concerned is the FTA between China and ASEAN. This FTA, literally, looks like a pure economic cooperation. How-ever, considering the aggressive maneuver of China, the political motive is actu-ally dreadful. ECFA between Taiwan and China shares the same concern and is worth further study. In view of the above mentioned, relevant information re-garding China-ASEAN FTA and Taiwan-China ECFA is collected, whilst the below three points shapes the objective of this research: 1. Understand the gen-eral situation of economic integration of East Asian countries as a whole, then, further analyze the current development of ASEAN and the most globally con-cerned ASEAN Plus One. 2. Understand intensively the FTA of Chi-na-ASEAN and ECFA of Taiwan-China. 3. Compare the differences of posi-tions held, for FTA of China-ASEAN and ECFA of Taiwan-China. In the light of the objectives of this research, literature analysis is applied to verify the po-litical and economical differences when signing the agreements. Through the findings of this research, the political background, improve-ment of China’s image, area strategic thinking of war and strategic thinking are both identical and different for the agreement of China-ASEAN and Tai-wan-China. In addition, from the economic influence point of view, the in-crease of FDI, mutual-dependence and future of market development, are also identical and different. Nevertheless, it is no doubt a turning point of economic growth for Taiwan and ASEAN while the hidden political agenda could be the highest risk that may result in crisis.