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People nowadays pays more attention to how elder care services are provided in aging society. But unfortunately, sociology of the family or theories of social welfare still cannot properly explain what’s the preference of Taiwanese citizens for elder care arrangement and what would they choose from informal or formal care. In this thesis, the Andersen model is applied as the research framework, and ten independent variables such as “age” and dependent variable “preference for elder care arrangement” which is divided into three groups: informal care, mixed care and formal care are selected within the data from “2016 Taiwan Social Change Survey (Round 7, Year 2): Family”. Then, statistical analysis was done by doing multinominal logistic regression to realize how all the independent variables could be used to predict the preference. The findings are respectively about 15% Taiwanese citizens prefer informal care, and about 60% prefer mixed care, and about 25% prefer formal care. On the other hand, the 9 predisposing factors which are age, gender, having spouse or partner or not, education level, attitude to filial piety, attitude to gender norm, attitude to welfare and the 2 enabling factors which are individual income and numbers of children all have statistical significant influence on preference of elder care arrangement in 5 different ways. But the need factor which is health status does not. Considering Taiwanese citizens do not have specific preference for elder care arrangement actually, the current public policy “National Ten-year Long-term Care Plan 2.0” seemed to be capable of coping with the needs of elder care in Taiwan. However, the proportion of single household to traditional family is increasing because younger generation would not to get married. Thus Family as an informal care system which can share the risk of living will no longer exist. So constructing non-married and non-biological-related community which its members could care each other as a substitute for family was recommended. Finally, since single household and same-sex marriage family are ignored in the past discussions and studies about family structure, it is recommended to study the preference of non-heterosexual-marriage and non-nuclear families for elder care arrangement in the future. Furthermore, under constraint of limited secondary data, the dependent variable in this thesis excluded home care which is also a kind of formal care and most often used, it is recommend to study the preference for home care in the future as well. |