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作者(中):葉昀羲
作者(英):Yeh, Yun-Hsi
論文名稱(中):1971-2011年臺灣城際運輸對人口與產業空間分布影響之分析
論文名稱(英):The impact of intercity transportation on the spatial distribution of population and Employment: An empirical study of Taiwan between 1971-2011
指導教授(中):蔡育新
口試委員:王大立
劉小蘭
蔡育新
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立政治大學
系所名稱:地政學系
出版年:2019
畢業學年度:107
語文別:中文
論文頁數:61
中文關鍵詞:城際運輸
Doi Url:http://doi.org/10.6814/NCCU202001368
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本研究主要探討城際運輸對臺灣人口與產業空間分布之影響關係,實證分析人口與產業分布是否受城際運輸系統建設影響。關於城際運輸系統對人口與產業發展之影響,過往研究從不同空間尺度進行探討,然而對於多種城際運輸系統的綜合分析卻較少有相關文獻。因此本研究以高速公路、臺鐵以及高鐵三種城際運輸系統,綜合分析城際運輸系統對臺灣人口與產業空間分布影響關係。
本研究以城際運輸系統為研究對象,以臺灣本島349個鄉鎮市區為空間範圍,使用敘述性統計與追蹤資料分析(Panel Data)為研究方法,以人口密度與及業人口密度為分析指標,分析1971年至2011年間城際運輸系統對臺灣人口與產業空間分布影響。
實證結果顯示,城際運輸系統在1971年至2011年期間,高速公路交流道與高鐵車站對於鄉鎮市區層級的臺灣人口聚集,具有統計上顯著之正相關。高鐵車站對於鄉鎮市區層級的臺灣產業聚集,具有統計上顯著之正相關。城際運輸系統可帶來人口與就業的聚集,而高鐵在產業聚集方面似乎對高速公路具有替代效果,為較具影響力的城際運輸系統。上述實證結果,驗證不同城際運輸系統對臺灣人口與產業空間分布具有不同影響效果,而近期興建的城際運輸系統,影響效果較明顯。
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 研究內容 4
第三節 研究方法與研究流程 6
第二章 文獻回顧 9
第一節 都市化 9
第二節 城際交通運輸對人口與產業空間分布影響 13
第三章 研究設計 17
第一節 研究架構 17
第二節 變數介紹 22
第四章 實證分析 25
第一節 敘述性統計分析—單因子變異數分析 25
第二節 其他影響人口與產業空間分布因素之初步分析—敘述性統計 42
第三節 城際運輸對人口與產業空間分布之影響分析-Panel Data 46
第四節 假說驗證 51
第五章 結論與建議 53
第一節 結論 53
第二節 政策建議與研究限制 54
參考文獻 57
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