|
一、 中文文獻 1.王健安、林秋瑾、張金鶚,1996,「房地產業對總體經濟活動之影響之分析」,『臺灣銀行季刊』,47(1):1-24。 2.吳森田,1994,「所得、貨幣與房價-近二十年台北地區的觀察」,『住宅學報』,(2):49-65。 3.李佳珍、盧永祥、丁安正、,2012,「臺北市各區人口、家庭所得與房屋價格關聯性之研究」,『商業現代化學刊』,6(3):243-254。 4.李明、黃珊燕、張琦,2011,「我國消費者信心指數與消費函數之間的關係研究」,『經濟縱橫』,(9):110-112。 5.李春風、劉建江、陳先意,2014,「房價上漲時對我國城鎮居民消費的擠出效應研究」,『統計研究』,31(12):32-40。 6.林元興,2005,「不動產市場運作之探討」,『土地問題研究季刊』,4(3):9-19。 7.林佑倫,2015,「房價變動對經濟成長及消費支出之影響」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文 8.林秋瑾、王健安、張金鶚,1997,「房地產景氣與總體經濟景氣於時間上領先、同時、落後關係之探討」,『國家科學委員會研究彙刊;人文及社會科學』,7(1):35-56。 9.林秋瑾、黃佩玲,1995,「住宅價格與總體經濟變數關係之研究-以向量自我迴歸模式(VAR)進行實證」,『國立政治大學學報』,71(2):143-159。 10.林進益、林元興,2011,「不動產市場產生景氣循環的原因與後果」,『土地問題研究季刊』,10(2):2-17。 11.施略謀,1991,『景氣變動』,臺灣,水牛出版社。 12.徐臘平、吳剛,2009,「我國房地產價格對居民消費的影響」,『建築經濟』,326(12):40-43。 13.袁冬梅、劉建江,2009,「房價上漲對居民消費的擠出效應研究」,『消費經濟』,25(3):7-11。 14.郭迺鋒、徐苑玲、林建廷,2013,「消費者信心指數與經濟活動臨近預測」,『兩岸金融季刊』,1(2):61-82。 15.陳明吉,1989,「房地產價格及其變動因素之研究」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文 16.陳秋鋤,1980,「台灣房屋建築循環之研究」,文化大學經濟研究所碩士論文 17.陳隆麒、李文雄,1998,「台灣地區房價、股價、利率互動關係之研究—聯立方程模型與向量自我迴歸模型之應用」,『財務金融學刊』,5(4):51-71。 18.彭建文、張金鶚,2000,「總體經濟對房地產景氣影響之研究」,『國家科學委員會研究彙刊;人文及社會科學』,10(3):330-343。 19.黃文治,1987,「建築業及其景氣」,『台灣房屋市場』,18(2)。 20.楊茂,2006,「中國消費者信心與消費需求拉動效應的實證分析」,『經濟經緯』,(1):21-23。 21.楊賀雯、陳姵妌,2012,「房地產市場價、量與總體經濟變數之Granger因果關係之研究—以臺灣臺中市新推個案為例」論文發表於〈世界華人不動產學會2012年會〉,澳門,2012/7/1~5。 22.鄭寧、陳立文,2015,「房價上漲對城鎮居民消費擠出效應的區域差異分析」,『商業經濟研究』,(16):25-26。 23.黎佳貞,2012,「從貨幣政策看房價之變動趨勢-以臺北市為例,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文 24.謝潔玉、吳斌珍、李宏彬、鄭思齊,2012,「中國城是房價與居民消費」,『金融研究』,384(6):13-27。 25.羅國男,1991,「台灣房地產景氣與股價關係性之研究」,國立中興大學企業管理研究所碩士論文 26.嚴金海、丰雷,2012,「中國住房價格變化對居民消費的影響研究」,『廈門大學學報(哲學社會科學版)』,210(2):71-78。 二、 英文文獻 1. Bernanke, B. S., 2010, "Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble.", IDEAS Working Paper Series from RePEc. 2. Bruestle, S. and Crain, W. M., 2015, "A mean-variance approach to forecasting with the consumer confidence index.", Applied Economics, 47(23): 2430-2444. 3. Burns, L. S. and Grebler, L., 1982, "Construction Cycles in the United States Since World War II.", AREUEA, 10(2): 123-151. 4. Campbell, J. Y. and Cocco, J. F., 2007, "How do house prices affect consumption? Evidence from micro data.", Journal of Monetary Economics, 54(3): 591-621. 5. Case, K. E., Quigley, J. M. and Shiller, R. J, "Comparing Wealth Effects The Stock Market versus the Housing Market.", UC Berkeley Working Papers, 5(1). 6. Campbell, J. Y. and Cocco, J. F, 2004, "How do house prices affect consumption." Journal of Monetary Economics, 54(3): 591-621. 7. Derksen, J. B. D., 1940, "Long Cycles in Residential Building: An Explanation.", Econometrica, 8: 97-116. 8. Dickey, D. A. and Fuller, W. A., 1979, "Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root.", Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366): 427-431. 9. Engel, R. F. and Granger, C.W.J., 1987, "Co-Integration and Error Correction Representation, Estimation, and Testing.", Econometrica, 55(2): 251-276. 10. Fortura, P. and Kushner, J, 1986, "Canadian Inter-City House Price Differentials.", AREUEA, 14(4): 525-536. 11. Goldstein, M. A. and Nelling, E. F., 1999, "Market Making and Trading in Nasdaq Stocks.", The Financial Review, 34: 27-44. 12. Goodhart, C. and Hofmann, B., 2008, "House Prices, money, credit and the macroeconomy.", IDEAS Working Paper Series from RePEc, 888. 13. Grangerm, C. W. J. and Newbold, P., 1974, "Spurious regressions in econometrics." Journal of Econometrics, 2(2): 111-120. 14. Grebler, L. and Mittelbach, F. G., 1979, The inflation of house prices, its extent, causes, and consequences, Lexington Books. 15. Hansen, A. H., 1951, Business cycles and national income, New York, Norton. 16. Islam, T. U. and Mumtaz, M. N., 2016, "Consumer Confidence Index and Economic Growth An Empirical Analysis of EU Countries.", EuroEconomica, 35(2): 17-22. 17. Jarociński, M. and Smets, M., 2008, "House Prices and the stance of monetary policy.", IDEAS Working Paper Series from RePEc, 891. 18. Johansen, S., 1988, "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors.", Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2): 231-254. 19. KRASHINSKY, M. and MILNE, W., 1986, "Housing Price in Metropolitan Toronto: An Empirical Analysis.", Regional Science and Urban Economics, 17: 289-305. 20. Kuznets, S., 1952, "Long-term changes in the national income of the United States of America since 1870.", Review of Income and Wealth, 2(1): 29-241. 21. MARKUSEN, J. R. and MELVIN, J. R., 1979, "Tariffs, Capital Mobility, and Foreign Ownership.", Journal of International Economic, 9(3): 395-409. 22. Matthew, R. C. O., 1969, The Trade Cycle, London, Nisbet. 23. Mielcová, J. and Mielcová, E., 2017, "Is consumer confidence index a suitable predictor of future economic growth An evidence from the USA.", E+M Ekonomie a Management, 20(2): 30-45. 24. Morris, E. D., 2006, "Examining the wealth effects from home price.", University of Michigan Working Papers. 25. Negroa, M. D. and Otrokb, C., 2007, "99 Luftballons: Monetary policy and the house price boom across U.S. states.", Journal of Monetary Economics, 54(7): 1962-1985. 26. Negroa, M. D. and Otrokb, C., 2007, "99 Luftballons: Monetary policy and the house price boom across U.S. states.", Journal of Monetary Economics, 54(7): 1962-1985. 27. Nellis, J. G. and Longbottom, J. A., 1981, "An Empirical Analysis of the Determination of House Prices in the United Kingdom.", Urban Studies, 18(1): 9-21. 28. Phillips, P. C. B. and Perron, P., 1988, "Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression.", Biometrika, 75(2): 335-346. 29. Sløk, T. and Ludwig, A., 2002, "The Impact of Changes in Stock Prices and House Priceson Consumption in OECD Countries.", IMF Working Papers, 2(1): 1-36. 30. Taylor, J. B., 2008, "The Financial Crisis and the Policy Responses: An Empirical Analysis of What Went Wrong.", NBER Working Paper Series, 14631: 1-19. 31. Wang, P., 2003, "A Frequency Domain Analysis of Common Cycles in Property and Related Sectors.", The Journal of Real Estate Research, 25(3): 325-346.
|