臺灣原木進口之季節變動

Seasonal Variation of Logs Imports by Taiwan

任憶安(I-An Jen)

《林業試驗所研究報告季刊》 6卷3期 (1991/09) Pp. 307-311

https://doi.org/10.7075/BTFRI.199109.0307

摘要

從民國62年至79年，臺灣原木進口量加以分析，發現臺灣原木進口有明顯季節變動，由第一季至第二季有70%機率會增加，由第四季至次年第一季有70%機率會減少。由第二季至第三季及由第三季至第四季其增減較難判斷。第一季進口量與第二季進口量間有高度正相關。季間差之間多有相關存在，表現出臺灣木材市場較小的特性。

關鍵字

臺灣 ； 原木進口 ； 季節變動

並列摘要

The quarterly figures of Logs imports by Taiwan during the period of 1973-1990 were studied. Difference between the current and the next quarter was positive from the first quarter to second quarter and negative from the fourth quarter to the first quarter of following year with the same probability of 70%, but was not clear from the second quarter to the third quarter or from the third quarter to the fourth quarter. This pattern was quite similiar to the pattern of Southsea Logs imports by Japan as well as the pattern of Taiwan's plywood exportation.

並列關鍵字

Seasonal variation ； Logs imports ； Taiwan