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The Prospective Demand of the Owner-Occupied Housing an Empirical Inference in Kaohsiung City, Taiwan

並列摘要


In this study, the prospective buyers were defined to be the families who plan to purchase houses in the coming few years, 5 years for instance. For those who were able to afford the expected house is referred as the ”prospected demand”. We empirically measured the housing affordability according to two economic conditions: (1) the down payment constraint according to family wealth accumulated, and (2) the credit constraint to pay the mortgage loan according to annual family income. The price of the expected house was estimated via a hedonic approach on the study area. We measure the affordability at individual level so that the difference of socioeconomic characteristics and different preferences across families would be captured. We computed the elasticity of the percentage change of the prospected demand with respected to the policy change of mortgage interest rate. The results can be applied to evaluate the effects of housing policies, for example, the mortgage interest subsidization.

參考文獻


Boehm, T.P.(1993).Income, Wealth Accumulation, and First-Time Home ownership: An Intertemporal Analysis.Journal of Housing Economics.3,16-30.
Bourassa, S.C.(1995).The Impacts of Borrowing Constraints on Home- Ownership in Australia.Urban Studies.32(7),1163-1173.
Bourassa, S.C.(1996).Measuring the Affordability of Home-Ownership.Urban Studies.33(10),1867-1877.
Carter, T.(1997).Current Practices for Procuring Affordable Housing: The Canadian Context.Housing Policy Debate.8(3),593-631.
Forrest, R.,A. Murie(1995).Housing and family Wealth, Comparative International Prespectives.New York:Routledge.

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鍾和益(2010)。影響成人心血管疾病患者合併中風之個人因素與地區變異分析 (2000-2007年)〔碩士論文,國立臺灣大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6342/NTU.2010.01950

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