小區域防空武器配置的分析與模擬

The Analysis and Simulation Model for The Evaluation of a Local Area Air Defense System

鍾克雄(Ke-Hslung Chung) ； 尹延齡(Yen-Ling Yin)

《國防管理學報》 16卷2期 (1995/07) Pp. 45-52

https://doi.org/10.29496/JNDM.199507.0004

摘要

本研究在探討應用Erlang損失公式評估小區域單層及多層防空系統配置策略的效率。應用Erlang損失公式必須先把防空系統構建成（M/M/s）：（s/∞/FCFS）的等候線模式。本研究仔細分析防空系統在該結構之下每一項假設的意義。為了進一步驗證Erlang損失公式應用在分析防空系統效率的可行性，本文另以GPSS/H模擬語言建立一個模擬模式以模擬單層及三層防空系統並求得模擬結果。結果發現Erlang損失公式的分析結果值和用模擬所得到的機率值相當接近。本研究未來將進一步探討Erlang損失公式對每一項防空系統假設的敏感程度。

關鍵字

Erlang損失去式 ； (M/M/s) ； s/∞/FCFS) ； GPSS/H ； 4防空系統

並列摘要

This research is to study the feasibility of using Erlang's Loss Formula in the evaluation of a local area air defense system whose efficiency is mainly measured by the breakthrough probabilities. To make this feasibility possible, an air defense system's natures must be modeled to comply with the queuing structure (M/M/s): (s/∞/FCFS) of Erlang's Loss Formula. We analyze and explain the meaning behind each assumption of (M/M/s): (s/∞/FCFS) when applied to air defense system. We also verify Erlang's Loss Formula with the outputs from simulating two examples with GPSS/H simulation language. These two comparisons show that both methods have very similar results. Our future research will further explore the sensitivity extent of Erlang's Loss Formula to each assumption behind the air defense systems in this study.

並列關鍵字

Erlang's Loss Formula ； (M/M/s):(s/∞/FCFS) ； GPSS/H ； Air Defense System