- 期刊
Seeing in Multiple Horizons: Connecting Futures to Strategy
並列摘要
This paper describes a futures method called the ”Three Horizons” which enables different futures and strategic methods to be integrated as and when appropriate. The method is still in development. It differs significantly from the original version described in the management literature a decade ago. The approach has several strengths. It can relate drivers and trends-based futures analysis to emerging issues. It enables policy or strategy implications of futures to be identified. And it links futures work to processes of change. The paper connects this latter aspect to models of change developed within the 'social shaping' school of technology. Finally, it summarises a number of futures applications where this evolving technique has been used.
被引用紀錄
延伸閱讀
- Anthony, M. T. (2015). Classical Intuition and Critical Futures. Journal of Futures Studies, 20(1), 131-138. https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.2015.20(1).S131
- McDowell, A. (2019). Storytelling Shapes the Future. Journal of Futures Studies, 23(3), 105-111. https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.201903_23(3).0009
- 黃俊賢（2010）。Narrative as ’Fusion of horizons’〔博士論文，香港大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://www.airitilibrary.com/Article/Detail?DocID=U0029-1812201200016834
- Miller, R. E. L. (2015). Applying Intuitive Methods in Explorations of Preferred Futures. Journal of Futures Studies, 20(1), 101-109. https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.2015.20(1).S101
- 陳國華（2006）。Using Futures Scenarios to Anticipate City's Competitive Capacities。研考雙月刊，30(5)，42-55。https://doi.org/10.6978/YKSYK.200610.0042