後ECFA時代的兩岸關係發展

The Development of Cross-Strait Relation in the Post ECFA Epoch

巨克毅(Ker-Yi Chu)

《宗教哲學》 73期 (2015/09) Pp. 105-114

https://doi.org/10.6309/JORP.2015.09.73.105

摘要

《兩岸經濟合作架構協議》（ECFA）已於2010年6月29日在中國大陸重慶市簽訂。其對推動兩岸關係經貿正常化與雙方經濟合作制度化，已建立了雙贏互利的良好基礎，更對於兩岸關係未來和平發展的正確方向跨出了成功的重要步伐。換言之，ECFA的簽署標示著兩岸經貿關係已發展出新的里程碑，更顯示出兩岸和平發展進程已帶給東亞區域安全與穩定發展的積極意義。然而，臺灣內部的民進黨則對於馬政府的兩岸經貿政策採取杯葛態度，目的仍在年底五都選舉的政治考量，企圖透過反對EFCA、反對執政黨的兩岸政策，反對中華民國的經濟發展路線，藉以拉攏深綠群眾，冀求獲得政治選舉利益。兩岸ECFA簽署後，未來兩岸在政治議題談判過程中，首先應考量內部與外在環境的影響與壓力，對這些影響與不確定因素加以重視與因應化解，則能促成政治談判的順利進行。

關鍵字

全球化 ； 區域整合 ； 圍和政策 ； 雙贏互利

並列摘要

ECFA was signed in ＂Chong Ch'ing＂ of China on April 29th, 2010. The contract is a keystone to a win-win situation with which the normalization and institutionalizations are promoted, and it also means another step forward to the cross-strait peace development. In other words, the agreement on ECFA indicates the new milestone of the cross-strait relationship; what's more, it shows positive significance of stable developments and regional safety brought out under the course of cross-strait peace development. However, the cross-strait trade strategy promoted by the Ma government was boycotted by DPP in Taiwan as political means aiming at the election of the five municipalities. Through the opposition to ECFA, the cross-strait strategy regulated by the administration party and the economic expansion path of R.O.C, DPP tried in attempt to gain benefits in elections by winning the hearts of the deep green voters. After the signature of cross-strait ECFA, the premier concerns in the process of future cross-strait negotiations will be the internal and external affects and pressures, which form the uncertain factors of the political negotiations .Therefore, to run the political negotiation smoothly, these uncertain factors should be confronted with importantly and to create the solution.

並列關鍵字

Globalization ； Regional Integration ； Congagement Policy ； Win-Win Situation