陳水扁的政治人格與終統政策宣示

The Political Personality of Shui-Bien Chen and the Declaration of Ceasing to Apply the Guidelines for National Unification

蔡相廷(Hsiang-Ting Tsai)

《元培學報》 17期 (2010/12) Pp. 81-106

https://doi.org/10.30171/JYUST.201012.0007

摘要

2006年二二八紀念日的前夕，陳水扁總統宣佈「終止運作」國家統一委員會和國家統一綱領。陳水扁就任總統之後，國統綱領的存在，對陳水扁政府的大陸政策，幾無實質政策影響，但其對台海和平的維持，仍具有高度之象徵意義。宣示「終統」意味陳水扁總統企圖逐步毀去自己「四不一沒有」的承諾，將激怒中共，危及台灣安全與美國利益，對國家整體並無任何利益。本文假設「終統政策」並非一般兩岸關係研究途徑所能適當解釋，陳水扁的政治人格乃「終統政策」形成最重要關鍵，因此本文採取政治人格個案研究的途徑，分析下列問題：第一、究竟是甚麼人格特質導致他宣布此項政策？其次，「終統政策」宣布的政治環境與即刻情境爲何？第三，檢視政治過程，評估「終統政策」的政治影響。

關鍵字

陳水扁 ； 政治人格 ； 國家統一綱領 ； 即刻情境

並列摘要

Before the 228 Memorial Day in 2006, President Shui-Bien Chen has declared to ”cease to apply” the National Unification Council and the Guidelines for National Unification. The existence of the Guidelines for National Unification has no real effect on Shui-Bien Chen's government's policy on China. Yet, the Guidelines are still symbolic to the maintenance of cross-straits peace. The declaration means that President Shui-Bicn Chen is gradually deviating himself from his promise of the ”four no's and one without”, and endangering the security of Taiwan and benefits of the USA. This paper presupposes that President Shui-Bien Chen's political personality is the most important key in the formation of the the declaration. Therefore, this paper takes the examination of Chen's political personality as a way to study this case, and analyzes the following questions:
1. What personality of Chen have led him to declare the abovementioned policy?
2. In addition, what are the political environment and immediate circumstance of the declaration of the ”policy against the unification with China”?
3. And finally, examine the political process and evaluate the political influence of the ”policy against the unification with China”.

並列關鍵字

Shui-Bien Chen ； Political Personality ； Guidelines for National Unification ； Immediate Circumstance