從理性博弈向結構博弈轉移：兼論兩岸結構博弈

兩岸關係中的互動「結構」常常在操作與思考過程中被視為是一種「既定的」、「難以改變」的既存事實，並且以此作為理性選擇或博弈的起點。然而，這是一種脫離現實的、類似在真空中進行理性博弈的分析模式，忽略了行動體與結構之間的辯證互動關係，這種化約的博弈思維也讓兩岸關係陷入一個無法突破的博弈僵局中。本文由「結構博弈」的觀點，取代理性博弈中博弈各方受結構制約的主客二元觀念，論述結構存在與理性選擇博弈之間的結合作用，強調結構與行動體之間的辯證，從而論述如何運用結構博弈的觀點來分析兩岸之問的僵局，以及可能的解決之道。

關鍵字

結構；博弈理論；理性選擇；結構博弈；兩岸關係

並列摘要

The interactional ”structure” between the both of the Taiwan Strait is often regarded as an ”existing” and ”unchangeable” fact in the process of operation and evaluation, and taken as a starting point of rational choice or gaming. This, however, is an unrealistic mode of analysis and not dissimilar to a rational gaming undertaken in a vacuum, totally neglecting the dialectical interactions between the subject of actor and the structure. Such a reductive thinking leads cross-strait relations to a deadlock/stalemate. The present paper proceeds from the position of ”structural gaming,” it avoids the pitfall of the structurally constrained subject-object dualism in the rational gaming. The paper discusses the combinatory function of structural existence and rational choice gaming, emphasizes on the dialectic between the structure and the subject of action, and explores how breakthroughs in the cross-strait relations might be achieved through the insight of structural gaming.

並列關鍵字

Structure ； Game Theory ； Rational Choice ； Structural Gaming ； Cross-Strait Relations

參考文獻

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國際替代計量

從理性博弈向結構博弈轉移：兼論兩岸結構博弈

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