日本貿易救濟制度對其產業保護效果之研究

於1995年世界貿易組織(WTO)成立後，在世界貿易組織的規範之下，各會員國減少使用關稅、配額等常見之傳統貿易障礙手段，但唯有反傾銷制度之實施卻保持有增無減之趨勢，以致突顯出反傾銷措施在國際貿易之進出口上成爲重要角色之一，而其措施對雙邊貿易國之影響更值得深入探討。本研究以日本反傾銷案件爲基礎，探討反傾銷案件的調查結果對控訴圈、涉案國及非涉案國之間在貿易效果上之影響及反傾銷制度對控訴國國內產業之保護效果，進而對台灣政府、日本政府及相關廠商（產業）提出相關建議。本研究採用「SPSS」統計分析系統來進行各項數據驗證，首先以皮爾森(Pearson)分析進行變數間之相關性分析，檢驗相關變數間是否存在顯著性。其次以多變量變異數分析(MANOVA)，探討不同皮傾銷案件結果對於涉案國之出口價值和數量變動是否有影響。最後是迴歸分析(Regression Analysis)，透過線性迴歸分析法對應變數與自變數之間，確認彼此間之關係程度，以驗證反傾銷相關變數，分別與涉案國之出口價值和數量及非涉案國之出口價值和數量之間是否存在關係及其關係程度。研究結果發現，若皮傾銷案件之判決結果爲肯定判決，則涉案國之出口價值和數量將會顯著下降且反傾銷稅課徵稅率越高，涉案圍之出口價值和數量下降越多。

關鍵字

反傾銷；世界貿易組織；日本反傾銷制度；貿易保護； SPSS模型

並列摘要

Member countries have reduced their use of tariff and quotas as trade barrier since the establishment of World Trade Organization (WTO). However, the use of anti-dumping (AD) measure has become more popular among these countries. It shows that AD plays more important role in international trading activities. Hence, conduct to discuss the AD influence on trade. However, named products o f AD cases were defined specifically. In the meantime, there is rare study on the influence of named countries' styles on trading effect of AD system, so this study tries to analyze these AD cases which named countries are developed or developing countries separately to make up the gap of current 1iteratures. This study use SPSS statistical ana1ysis system which use multi-regression and ANOVA to analyze ten anti-dumping cases. We construct the field data in Japan during 1992-2009 to find out the trading effects of AD. The empirical result of this study shows the exporting va1ue (quantity) of named countries would fall significantly when the final judgment of AD case is affirmative. In addition, the exporting value (quantity) of named countries would fall more when AD duty is higher.

並列關鍵字

Anti-dumping ； World Trade Organization ； Japanese anti-dumping system ； Trade protection ； SPSS model

參考文獻

黃智輝(2008)。銅版紙課徵反傾銷稅經濟效果與國家整體利益分析。台灣經濟預測與政策。39(1)，69-96。

Belderbos, R. A.,Leo, S.(1998).Tariff Jumping FDI and Export Substitution Japanese Electronics Firms in Europe.International Journal of Industrial Organization.16,601-638.