「國」與「親」的分與合－理性與感性的拔河

The Unification or Separation between KMT and PFP-A Tug of War between Affection and Rationality

廖達琪(Da-Chi Liao)

《臺灣民主季刊》 1卷3期 (2004/09) Pp. 203-211

https://doi.org/10.6448/TDQ.200409.0203

摘要

本評論試圖從政治學理上的兩大學派－感性說與理性論,來評析國民黨與親民黨的分與合,并將其分與合大體分為三大類,一是完全的分,甚至是對立競爭的；二是分中有合，合中有分，如目前狀態；三是完全的合并為一政黨。本文從國親分合的歷史回顧，指出國親合作固然有感性的力量，但「分」都是基于理性計算，包括在一定制度游戲規則下，兩黨如何尋求各自的選票極大化及取得參與執政的權力。而在理性與感性的拔河中，「理性」常居上風。故瞻望未來，國親全與分應是由「理性」的利益計算主導，而相應的制度設計情形等等，則是影響國親理性計算相當關鍵的因素。

關鍵字

感性 ； 理性 ； 國民黨 ； 親民黨

並列摘要

This review attempts to utilize two main theoretical approaches in comparative politics-affect and rationality-to analyze the plausible unification or separation of the Kuomintang (KMT) and the People First Party (PFP). It categorizes the so-called unification or separation of the two parties into three conditions: first, a clear-cut separation between the two parties, where the two would even become rivals; second, the two parties not only cooperate but also compete, which is similar to the current situation; third, an eventual unification of the two parties. Based upon the historical records of the separate and cooperative relationship that have appeared between the KMT and the PFP, the paper points out that rational choice plays a more crucial role than the affective bond in this process, which means the rational calculation of each party for votes or power under a certain institutional arrangement is the dominant force in making the KMT and the PFP allies or enemies. Thus the paper considers that the future plausible relationship between KMT and PFP should be mainly decided by their rational, not affective, choices.

並列關鍵字

affect ； rationality ； KMT ； PFP