2007年超級籃球聯賽參賽隊四節得失分與比賽結果相關性研究

Correlation Analysis between Teams' Scores in Four Periods and Its Match Results for 2007 Super Basketball League

蒙大慶(Ta-Ching Meng) ； 林如瀚(Ju-Han Lin)

《運動教練科學》 11期 (2008/09) Pp. 53-60

https://doi.org/10.6194/SCS.2008.11.06

摘要

本研究以2007年超級籃球聯賽例行賽參賽隊伍四節得失分情況與比賽結果爲分析要素，旨在瞭解比賽中各節得分是否對最終結果有著不同程度的影響。研究樣本以2007年超級籃球聯賽例行賽所進行的105場比賽記錄進行統計，以描述性統計及Pearson積差相關分析進行統計分析。結果發現：一、比賽時第一節如能取得5分以上的領先，勝率將高達93%。二、前半場維持平手或領先者有58場，最終將贏得43場，高達74.14%的勝率，所以如何能在上半場保持領先，才能爲勝利帶來優勢。三、在第三節單節領先十分以上的球隊，勝率高達83.3%；反之，只要能控制失分，前半場所獲得的領先優勢將可確保勝利。四、在四節中第一節得分與比賽勝負的相關性最高，對比賽的最終結果影響最大，其後依次爲第四節、第三節和第二節。

關鍵字

超級籃球聯賽 ； 四節得失分

並列摘要

The research targets teams in routine contests of the Super Basketball League (SBL) to analyze their correlation between score in four periods and match results. The purpose is to understand whether scores in every period have different degree of influence on match results. Study samples are 105 match records in routine contests of 2007 SBL for statistical analysis by methods of descriptive statistical analysis and Pearson correlation analysis. The research concludes that firstly if teams gain five more points than competitors in the first period of contests, the winning rate is up to 93 percentages. Secondly, if teams draw or gain for fifty-eight times, finally they will win forty-three games that reach the winning rate up to 74.14 percentages. Therefore, how to gain ahead in the first half can be an advantage to final victory. Thirdly, teams gain ten more points ahead in single third period, the winning rate is up to 83.3 percentages; on the contrary, the leading advantage obtained in the first half will insure contest success as long as teams can control loss. Fourthly, scores in the first one of four periods is the most correlative to match results and affect most on the final contest results; successively the next is the forth period, third period, and second period.

並列關鍵字

super basketball league SBL ； scores in four periods

參考文獻

蔣憶德(2005)。2003年大邱世界大學運動會籃球賽攻守技術分析之研究。體育學報。38(2)，137-149。

王俊明()。

曹健仲、張延飛(1994)。籃球比賽成績的攻防技術代表性項目之編製。體育學報。18，113-123。

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