農民學院養蜂入門班學員從農風險評估

The agricultural risk assessment of trainees in beekeeping courses of Farmers' Academy

古金台(Chin-Tai Ku)

《苗栗區農業改良場研究彙報》 11期 (2022/08) Pp. 51-66

摘要

本研究調查養蜂入門班學員基本特性以及從事農業的風險屬性，並利用集群分析法將受訪者依從農風險屬性分為積極型、穩健型及保守型，判別分析及交叉驗證顯示正確分類率分別達98.2%及96.3%。透過變方分析檢定從農風險屬性各群間之差異，在經營模式、天災或意外發生時，資金可支撐幾個月的農場開支、能接受之農產品價格波動程度、可承擔最大農業投資損失比例、期望報酬率、是否加入農民組織、加入農民組織原因、與其他從農者分享資訊內容、從農經驗、曾經有過的農業相關經驗及從事農業最主要的目的等題項，均具有顯著差異。整體而言，積極型受訪者顯示可承擔風險程度較高、其次為穩健型受訪者、最後為保守型。本研究結果可作為學員投入養蜂產業前之參考，並提供農民學院教學因應措施及規劃農民輔導計畫之資訊。

關鍵字

養蜂課程 ； 從農風險評估 ； 學員

並列摘要

This research investigated the basic characteristics of the trainees who attended beekeeping courses and their risk attributes for farming. Then we used the cluster analysis method to divide them into active, robust and conservative types, and the results correct classification rates were 98.2 % and 96.3% by discriminant analysis and cross-validation, respectively. In the case of production method, how many months the capital can last to cover the expenses, acceptable price fluctuation, acceptable investment loss ratio, expected rate of return, the numbers of farmers' associations the farmers join in and their reasons of joining, sharing information with other farmers, farming experience, previous agricultural related experience, and the main purpose of engaging in agriculture were all significantly different. On the whole, the active type of respondents showed a higher degree of risk tolerance in most of the items, followed by the robust type, and finally the conservative type. The results of this study can be used as a reference for the selection of trainees and farmers' counseling plans.

並列關鍵字

beekeeping course ； agricultural risk assessment ； trainees