從「兩岸經貿文化論壇」看兩岸關係發展

As the view of Kuomintang-Communist Party of China Forum from Cross-Strait relations development

林奕廷(Yi-Ting Lin)

指導教授 ： 潘錫堂 ； 郭展禮

淡江大學/國際研究學院/中國大陸研究所碩士在職專班/碩士(2015年)

https://doi.org/10.6846/TKU.2015.00369

摘要

2008年5月20日，馬英九就任後，隨即宣示以「不統、不獨、不武」的政策維持臺海現狀，並以臺灣人民的利益為前提，「九二共識」的基礎上，提出兩岸應維持和平與合作的關係，兩岸經貿應走務實、開放、穩健的路線，努力重新找回臺灣的經濟活力；兩岸關係走向和緩，雙方不論經濟、文化及社會交流更加深化，但伴隨而來的是，臺灣在安全及主權問題上正面臨潛藏的危機。長期以來，中共對臺仍不脫和戰兩手策略，在一個中國原則下，所有的對臺策略皆脫離不了政治的考量。
然而在2008年6月11至14日，第1次「江陳會談」於北京順利舉行，兩岸逐漸形成一套協商程序的制度化安排。在國民黨重新執政後，兩岸之間開始全方面的接觸與交流，馬上進行溝通協商，建立起兩岸兩會制度性的協商，「國共論壇」的舉辦可以說是功不可沒，且透過兩岸兩會的制度性協商，進行各項協議的簽署，這不但是兩岸經貿交流制度化的里程碑，更顯示出兩岸經濟關係邁向正常化、自由化，兩岸交流與互動已進入到相對成熟期。
研究兩岸關係，需要從不同的角度與方法來探索問題的本質與真相，如果單純以中國大陸官方或內部的文件資料，極易陷入中共思維的迷思，無法保持客觀立場，所以需透過不同立場及角度的觀察與分析，來增加研究的可信度。故本文主要採用「文獻分析法」（Document Analysis）、「歸納法」(Inductive Method)及「演繹法」(Deductive Method)等三種方式來進行研究；並運用「歷史研究途徑」（Historical Research Approach）作為研究之途徑，目的在於研究過去所發生的歷史事實，希望藉錯綜複雜的歷史事件中，發現一些事件的因果關係及發展的規律與規則，以求能夠瞭解現在與預測未來。
目前的「兩岸經貿文化論壇」迄今已舉辦了10屆，其中第8屆，除了延續重視的經貿合作、文化交流外，還出現了對於兩岸「和平發展的回顧與前瞻」，嘗試性的提出各方關切的兩岸之間是否會推展政治或軍事領域對話的想法，明顯看出兩岸關係交流互動即將邁入深水區之時，政治議題的浮現已成了不可避免的趨勢，在這背景之下，本人將從「兩岸經貿文化論壇」在兩岸關係發展中具有什麼主要的功能，並比較「兩岸經貿文化論壇」在民進黨執政時期與國民黨執政時期，在兩岸關係帶來什麼影響之差異，最後希望了解共產黨是否想利用「兩岸經貿文化論壇」達到何種預期成果，而研究出「兩岸經貿文化論壇」之未來發展趨勢。

關鍵字

九二共識 ； 兩岸關係 ； 一中原則 ； 國共論壇 ； 兩岸經貿文化論壇

並列摘要

Abstract:
On May 20, 2008, after Ying-Jeou Ma took the office, he immediately declared the policy of not to unify, dependent, and not to use the military force. The policy maintained the Taiwan Strait present situation, and took the Taiwan people's benefit as the premise. In the foundation of 1992 Consensus, proposed the Cross-Strait should maintain peace and the cooperation relations, the Cross-Strait economic and trade should follow with pragmatic, open to public, and go with steady route. Also, Working hard to regain the Taiwan’s economic vitality diligently. On the other hand, the Cross-Strait relations moved towards gently, no matter the Cross-Strait economy, the culture, and the society exchange going deepened. However, Taiwan’s security and sovereignty questions are both facing the potential crisis. Since long time ago, the Communist Party of China still unescapable for two-pronged strategy to Taiwan. As under one China principle, all of the Taiwan policies could not be separated from the political consideration.
However on June 11 to 14, 2008. The 1st time Chen-Chiang summit were running smoothly in Beijing, the Cross-Strait formed a set of institutional arrangements of the consultative process gradually. After Kuomintang got the power back, the Cross-Strait started the entire aspect contacts and exchanges, which carried on the communication consultation immediately, established a system of consultation between the Cross-Strait and the two sessions. The conduct of Kuomintang-Communist Party of China Forum can be called achievement is definitely never neglected, also passing through the Cross-Strait and the two sessions the institutional consultations, carried on each agreement the signature, not only this is the Cross-Strait economics and trade exchange institution milestone, demonstrated the Cross-Strait economy relations advances to the normalization, the liberalization, the Cross-Strait exchange and the interaction entered to the relative mature period.
Speaking of Study on the Cross-Strait relations, it needs to explore the question from the different angle, the method and looking for the essence and the truth. It is extremely easy to fall into the confuse thought of Chinese Communist Party if you just purely checking by the official China or internal document material, it is unable to maintain the objective standpoint; Therefore, we must penetrate the different standpoint, the angle of observation and the analysis, it will increase the credibility of the research. As the result, this article mainly use (Document Analysis), (Inductive Method) and (Deductive Method) three ways to conduct the research. Besides, making the use of (Historical Research Approach) to take way of the research. The goal is to investigate the historical facts in the past. Hopefully discovering some events the causal relations and the development rules and the regulation, it will be able to understand nowadays and the forecast the future.
At present the Cross-Strait Economic, Trade and Culture Forum has conducted 10 sessions until now, among in which 8th session, it took the economics and trade cooperation, the cultural exchange except the extension, but also appeared retrospect and prospect of peace development regarding the Cross-Strait, experimental proposed whether between all quarters concern the Cross-Strait could promote political or the military domain dialogue idea, viewing clearly the Cross-Strait relations exchange interaction soon and suffering severely, the political subject reappeared has become the inevitable tendency. Under such background, it led me to have main function from the Cross-Strait Economic, Trade and Culture Forum in the Cross-Strait relations development, and comparing the Cross-Strait Economic, Trade and Culture Forum when the Democratic Progressive Party in charge of the power period and the Kuomintang in charge of the power, it brings difference of any influence in Cross-Strait relations. Finally, wishing whether the understanding the Communist Party of China does want to use Cross-Strait Economic, Trade and Culture Forum to achieve what kind of anticipated achievement, as well as study Cross-Strait Economic, Trade and Culture Forum and to investigate the future trend of development

並列關鍵字

1992 Consensus ； Cross-Strait relations ； One China principle ； Kuomintang-Communist Party of China Forum ； Cross-Strait Economic, Trade and Culture Forum

參考文獻

連戰，和平繁榮，兩岸期盼 國共論壇開幕演講全文，海峽評論（新北市），第185期，2006年5月，頁23-28。

財團法人國家政策研究基金會網站，http://www.npf.org.tw

包宗和、吳玉山，重新檢視爭辯中的兩岸關係理論（臺北：五南出版社，2012年9月）。

一、專書

中共中央臺灣工作辦公室海研中心、中國國民黨國政研究基金會，兩岸經貿論壇文集（北京：九州出版社，2006年4月）。