台灣高齡化社會下的未來退休圖像

Exploring alternative futures of retirement for the aging Taiwanese society

李佳玲(Jia-Ling Lee)

指導教授 ： 陳國華

淡江大學/教育學院/未來學研究所碩士班/碩士(2008年)

https://doi.org/10.6846/TKU.2008.00817

摘要

高齡化社會的來臨，對於人類的衝擊而言，除了壽命的增長之外，還對個人生命與生涯產生影響；退休的光譜也不是只能被侷限於生命的後端；退休的圖像也不僅有單一的負面勢態；而不同性別者，對於退休的思考模式與期待也將更顯得分歧。本研究運用深度訪談法與情節建構方法，彙整已退休者與準退休者的想法與意見，從高齡化社會的思考角度，分析現今退休制度與退休決定的現況，並找出影響未來決定退休圖像的關鍵因素，並進一步探索發展退休期待的可能路徑，最後建構出台灣高齡化社會下的未來退休圖像。

本研究發現，對於已退休者而言，退休制度對於生涯規劃的影響甚深，年齡的框架是影響退休的主要原因；而對準退休者來說，退休制度與整體社會氛圍的轉型，使得退休的生活圖像將不同於以往傳統的老年意象，取而代之的是打破年齡界線，人生經驗的倒轉，使得退休的定義因而被改寫；而這些新的生活意象，甚或會引導退休商機的湧現。最後，本研究運用未來學許多可能的未來的思考方式，描繪出台灣高齡化社會下的未來退休圖像中的可能、可見、渴望及很糟的四個未來，這是一連串對於個人對於生涯事件的重新檢視，也是邁向高齡化社會的重要議題。

關鍵字

未來 ； 高齡化社會 ； 退休圖像

並列摘要

One of the most striking features of current society is the extended life-span of human being. With this drastic transition, people’s life and career development may change and the retirement spectrum will be ranging far more broadly. Additionally, images of retirement will not remain merely at the negative side, and ways of thinking and expectations of retirement will differentiate between gender. Consequently, this research aims at exploring the emerging images of a coming aging society of Taiwan.

By adopting semi-structured interviews and scenario analysis, this research gathers ideas and opinions of retirees and quasi-retirees who hold valuable in-depth worldviews on images of alternative futures of retirement. The analysis intends to find the key drivers that are forming the aging society, and to describe the contents and to derive possible scenarios of retirement for Taiwanese aging society. Based on the analysis, the images of retirees might be contained within the traditional retirement system and age has become the only factor dominating images of retirement. However, both retirement system and societal atmosphere are changing constantly, the images of retirement of quasi-retirees could be redirected. They may disregard the factor of age, and turn to other alternatives of life experience at work. These new life pictures may lead to big entrepreneurial opportunities.

In conclusion, this research applies alternative scenarios to explore a great deal of thinking approaches to depict possible, probable, preferable and worst futures of retirement images of Taiwan aging society. With these scenarios, the future of an aging society and its changing patterns can be further envisioned. Hence, an aging society is a significant issue for individuals to reexamine personal life experience.

並列關鍵字

Future ； Aging ； Retirement

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