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  • 學位論文

全球化對產業產出水準的影響:台灣地區印刷電路板產業

The impact of globalization on industrial output;The case of printed circuit board industry in Taiwan

指導教授 : 賈昭南

摘要


本文實證探索1990~2010年全球化環境下,當國內環境改變,影響及於外人來臺從四種不同類別投資活動時,臺灣地區印刷電路板產業產出水準所受到的影響。實證估計分二個方向進行:首先檢視國內外環境絕對變動的影響,其次檢視相對環境變動的影響。本文同時估計印刷電路板產業對各種融通管道的依賴性。 實證估計果如下:首先,當國內環境改變有利於吸引外人來臺從事直接投資與股權投資時,臺灣的印刷電路板產業可以直接或間接獲益。其次,利用外資淨流入變數下,當相對環境變動改變不利於臺灣時,若該變動影響及於債權投資,其對國內印刷電路板業的影響最大,其次為直接投資的影響。最後,無論國內環境如何改變,印刷電路板產業對能否取得流動負債的依賴性最高。

關鍵字

全球化 融通變數 外資變數

並列摘要


This thesis empirically examines the effects of domestic external environmental changes which in turn affect four types of foreign capitals inflow, on the output levels of the printed circuit board industrial in Taiwan. We examine the effects of absolute changes as well as the relative changes in domestic environments. The dependences of running the printed circuit board industry on various accommodations channels are also examined. Our findings are as follow. First, when the domestic environment changes in such a way that is favorable to attract foreign direct investment and stock investment in Taiwan, the domestic printed circuit board industry is benefited directly or indirectly . Second, using the net inflows as the explanatory variables, the estimated results show that whenever there is an unfavorable change in domestic environment that affects the direct investment the adverse effect is the most for the printed circuit board industry. Finally, no matter what happened to the domestic environment, the ability to acquire liquid liability plays the most crucial role in running the printed circuit board industry.

參考文獻


柯劉文(2005),台灣印刷電路板產業出口貿易佈局之策略分析(碩士論文)。
陳名倫(2007),台灣地區普通重型機車出口定價之研究(碩士論文)。
Aizenman, Joshua, Yothin Jinjarak and Donghyun Park, (2011). “Capital Flows and Economic Growth in the Era of Financial Integration and Crisis, 1990-2010,” NBER Working Paper 17502.
Aizenman, Joshua and Jaewoo Lee, (2005). “International Reserves: Precautionary versus Mecantilist View, Theory and Evidence,” NBER Working Papers No. 11366.
Arestis, Philip and Panica Demetriades, (1997). “Financial Development and Economic Growth: Assessing the Evidence,” Economic Journal, vol. 197, pp.783-99.

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