氣候變遷下,氣溫與降雨是明顯受到衝擊的因子。水文循環出現極端的變化,所造成水環境危機有洪水量增大、土砂災害增加、暴潮與海岸侵蝕增加等。因此因應氣候變遷治水策略調適是重要的研究課題。本研究旨在探討調適策略於台北地區之優先性與運用情形,以「易淹水地區水患治理計畫」新北市實施過程中已採行調適行動方案檢視,做執行過程遭遇問題研析,提供後續治水計畫推動參考。 本研究參考相關文獻擬定調適行動方案,分二階段進行問卷調查,第一階段利用改良式德爾菲法(MDM)篩選出重要調適行動方案,第二階段利用層級分析法(AHP)相互比對問卷調查,獲得各行動方案的權重。研究結果16個調適行動方案整體權重第1為推動自主防災社區,第2為推展洪災保險,第3為加強預警資訊傳遞及災害緊急應變能力,顯示因應氣候變遷治水策略調適以非工程措施方面較為優先。
Under climate change,the impact factors are obviously influenced by temperature and rainfall. Extreme changes in the hydrological cycle, increased water crisis caused by floods, landslide disasters increases, increase in storm surges and coastal erosion. Accordingly, regarding to adaptation to climate change water strategy is an important research topic. This study examines adaptation strategies in priority with the use case in the Taipei area. With the "flood-prone area flood-control plan" operated in new Taipei City, Taiwan has implemented adjustment programmes of action in the implementation process review, doing research on the implementation problems encountered, providing follow-up water management plan for reference. Reference literature to develop adjustment programmes of action this study, conducted a questionnaire survey consists of two stages, the first stage is to use modified delphi method (MDM) to filter out important adaptation programmes of action, the second makes use of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) than to response to the questionnaire, weights of all action programmes. Results 1th overall weight of 16 adjustment action programmes to promote autonomous disaster prevention community, 2nd to extend the flood insurance, 3rd to strengthen early warning and disaster emergency response information transmission capacity, displayed in response to climate change water strategy adjustment to a higher priority for the non-engineering.