應用聯合分析探討民眾對老人安居住宅之選擇偏好

Applying Conjoint Analysis on People 's Preferences to Residential Homes for the elderly

柳芝玲(CHIH-LING LIU)

指導教授 ： 張東生 ； 陳德釗

國立中央大學/管理學院/企業管理學系碩士在職專班/碩士(2015年)

摘要

根據2014年國家發展委員會發佈之「中華民國103年至105年之人口推計」，推估2018年老年人口將超過14%成為高齡社會，2025年達20% 邁入超高齡社會，並估計2061年老年人口將達總人口數之41%；高齡社會對於老人安養住宅需求將大量增加。本研究之目的在探討老人安居住宅須具備何種設施、機能及服務才能滿足民眾的多元需求使接受程度達到最高。透過國內、外老人安養住宅政策文獻彙整，分析國內養老住宅的經營服務，找出老人安居住宅的六項重要屬性及水準，再利用聯合分析法探討民眾對老人安居住宅的選擇偏好。
　　從研究結果來看，民眾對老人安居住宅的屬性重視程度依序為住房規格，醫療服務、未來照護安排，交通便利性、餐飲服務及管理方式。各屬性水準之偏好分別為二室一廳的住房規格、每週特約醫院專科醫生駐診的醫療服務、提供全國性特約養護及長期照護機構入住服務安排、提供付費接駁公車、提供團膳統一包月付費、保護性看護和門禁管理與行程交待及居住安全等。利用以上結論，進一步建議政府整合全國資源中央統籌規劃，跨縣巿合作設置養護及長照機構，提供全國性入住選擇，並以本研究所指出之各項偏好，規劃出真正符合國人需求的老人居所。

關鍵字：聯合分析、老人安居住宅、選擇偏好、高齡化社會

關鍵字

聯合分析 ； 老人安居住宅 ； 選擇偏好 ； 高齡化社會

並列摘要

In 2014, the National Development Council compiled the “Taiwan population projection from 2014 to 2016” and estimated that Taiwan will become an aged society in 2018 because the aged population will be more than 14% of the whole population. The projection also stated that in 2025 Taiwan will become a hyper-aged society, as the aged population will reach 20% of the whole population. The council also estimated that the aged population will reach 41% of the whole population by 2061. From this projection, the conclusion is that a high demand for residential homes will occur in the future. This research aims to discover how to satisfy the majority of potential residents multiple demands for elderly residence facilities, functions and services. Through study of domestic and international elderly residence policies and by analyzing the management and service of elderly residence, this research highlighted of the six most important attribute levels for residential homes. Also, conjoint analysis is used in this research to discuss favorite attributes for residential homes for the elderly.
From the questionnaire results, the top three important criterion for residential homes for the elderly is housing style, followed in decreasing importance by medical service, future nursing, accessible. Each individual attribute contains higher demand preferences. The top most preference in housing style is for two bedrooms and one sitting room, in medical service for specialist doctor consultations from respected hospitals and for future nursing requirements the preference is for supplying nation-wide nursing institutions and arranging to stay in long –term care facilities. The results of this study further suggests that the government should set up nation-wide nursing institutions and long-term care facilities to offer national residential options. Furthermore, by consideration of the results of this research to plan and build suitable residences for the elderly.

Keyword: Conjoint Analysis，Residential homes for the elderly，Preference，Aging Society

並列關鍵字

Conjoint Analysis ； Residential homes for the elderly ； Preference ； Aging Society

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