印度核戰略發展對印中與印巴關係之影響

摘要 1998年印度進行核子試爆成功後，正式成為核武國家，開始制定其核戰略方針。印度發展核武的主要因素在於對於大國地位的追求以及國際環境的不安穩，擁有核武可以讓印度晉身成世界大國，進而可以左右亞洲事務。在面臨中國和巴基斯坦兩個完全不同的競爭對手上，印度的核戰略選擇面臨到擴充核武以達到優勢或是保持最低規模的核武力量來確保國家安全。本文撰寫目的在於探討當前印度核武的發展準則，藉由印度不同時期的國內與國際情勢，來解釋印度核武發展歷程與政策制訂，並論述印度與中國、巴基斯坦三國間的國家關係，以釐清核武發展對於印度周邊國家的影響，最後對印度的核武發展提出總結與發展前景。

關鍵字

核戰略；核子武器；印度

並列摘要

Abstract India has officially become a nuclear states, working on its nuclear strategy since the successful nuclear test in 1998. There are two main factors that India wanted to develop its nuclear power. One of them is the unstable international situation while the other one is that India is desperately pursuing a higher position among countries. With nuclear power, India is considered one of the most powerful countries in the world, being able to determine major national affairs in Asia. Confronting its completely different opponents such as China and Pakistan, India has to decide whether to expand its nuclear power to gain advantage or remain minimum nuclear power to ensure its own safety. The main purposes of this essay are to evaluate India’s nuclear strategy by analyzing different periods of international and its own national situation, discuss the relationships among India, China, and Pakistan in order to disclose the influence and the consequences of nuclear power development in India.

並列關鍵字

Nuclear Strategy ； Nuclear Weapons ； India

參考文獻

陳偉華，「論結構性嚇阻與決策性嚇阻」，問題與研究，第41卷第2期（2002年 4月），頁23-42。

陳文賢，「印度與巴基斯坦的核武競爭」，問題與研究，第38卷第12期（1999 年12月），頁1-15。

Truver, Scott C. The Strait of Gibraltar and the Mediterranean (Netherland: Sihthoff & NoordHoff Internatuional Publishers, 1980)

Mohammed, Alam., India’s Nuclear Policy (Delhi:Mittal Publications, 1988)

Joseph, Cirincione., Bomb Scare: The History and Future of Nuclear Weapons (New York: Columbia University Press, 2007)

國際替代計量

印度核戰略發展對印中與印巴關係之影響

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