印度尼西亞進口糧食作物對農民收入影響之研究：應用CGE模型

在印尼糧食貿易自由化一直是重要的議題。而從國際貿易之進出口量值二者都持續增加的現象顯示貿易自由化的腳步正加速之中。印尼以農業為基礎的國家，關於糧食貿易是否應自由化正面和反面的意見都有。因此，本研究的目的是瞭解農民收入和印尼的GDP如何受到糧食作物進口影響。本研究以2008年的社會核算矩陣(SAM)數據為基礎建構可計算一般均衡(CGE)模型。並模擬糧食作物進口的影響。結果發現是增加糧食作物的進口會造成農民收入及實質GDP減少；但是若增加糧食作物的進口後，也增加非農業產品的出口和生產也會造成農民收入的增加。

關鍵字

糧食作物進口；印尼農民收入； CGE模型； SAM表；農業領域；非農業領域

並列摘要

Food trade liberalization has been one of the crucial issues in Indonesia. It was indicated with increasing on international trade, both export and import. Indonesia as a country with agriculture basis, still have been pro and contra about food liberalization. The purpose of this research is to know how the impact of food crops import on farmer income and GDP in Indonesia. This research used Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model with the 2008 Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) Table as the base data. Simulate the impact from food crops import. The results show that income in food crops import would decrease farmer income as well as real GDP, while if increase of food crops import that followed by increasing export and production in non agriculture products would increase farmer income.

並列關鍵字

Food crops import ； Indonesia farmer income ； CGE Model ； SAM Table ； Agriculture sector ； non agriculture sector

參考文獻

Viner, J., 1950, The Customs Union Issue, Washington: Anderson Kramer Associates.

Acharya, S. and C. Solomon., 2008, Trade liberalisation and household welfare in Nepal, Journal of Policy Modeling, 30: 1057–1060.

Bautista, R. M., 2001, Agriculture-based development: A SAM perspective on Central Vietnam, Journal of Development Economics ,39 (1): 112–132.

Benny El, N. and F. Robert., 2013, The effect of agricultural policy reforms on income inequality in Swiss agriculture - An analysis for valley, hill and mountain regions, Journal of Policy Modeling. 35: 638–651.

Clausing, K.A., 2001, Trade Creation and Trade Diversion in the Canada – United States Free Trade Agreement, The Canadian Journal of Economics. 34:1-5

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印度尼西亞進口糧食作物對農民收入影響之研究：應用CGE模型

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