中國對美衝突與合作之探討：一個質性比較分析的途徑

本文以中共歷屆全國代表大會政治報告為主要資料，利用質性比較分析探討中國對美政策之成因，同時分析國際、國內因素對中國外交政策之重要性。本文發現，中國對美衝突與合作政策之成因各有不同。當探討對美衝突時，中國的修正主義偏好是必要條件；探討對美合作時，美國實力領先中國、美國對中合作都是必要條件。因此，缺乏修正主義偏好，則中國不會對美衝突；中國對美合作是對「力不如人」且美國對中合作情況下之回應。

關鍵字

美中關係；中國外交政策；中共；國內政治；質性比較分析

並列摘要

This paper uses the political reports of the CCP national congress as raw data and applies qualitative comparative analysis to investigate the conditions and the relative importance of domestic and international factors influencing China's policy toward the United States. The results of this analysis suggest that the conditions for China's cooperation and conflict toward the U.S. are different. China's revisionist preference is the necessary condition for its conflictive policy toward the U.S. However, when analyzing the conditions of China's cooperative policy toward the U.S., a combination of American lead in the U.S.-China power parity and the U.S. cooperative policy toward China is the necessary condition to ensure China's cooperation toward the U.S. In other words, without a revisionist proclivity, it is unlikely that China would choose to enter into conflict with the U.S., and China's cooperation toward the U.S. is a reaction to Washington's cooperation toward China and a reflection of the power disparity between the two countries.

並列關鍵字

U.S.-China Relations ； Chinese Foreign Policy ； Chinese Communist Party ； Domestic Politics ； Qualitative Comparative Analysis

參考文獻

Fisunoglu, Ali, Kyungkook Kang, Marina Arbetman-Rabinowitz, & Jacek Kugler, 2011. “Relative Political Capacity Dataset 2.4 Codebook.Pdf,” Harvard Dataverse, .

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