- 期刊
- OpenAccess
Opinion Polls and Populism in Modern British Elections
摘要
Opinion polls play a central role in modern British elections, being prominent in the media reporting of the campaign, increasingly so in recent years. Many of the voters seem to be interested in the polls, but whether they have a significant impact on voting behavior remains unresolved. Despite past suggestions that polls are inherently populist, they seem to have played only a limited role in the U.K.'s vote to leave the European Union (＂Brexit＂). Support for Brexit was rooted in existing political attitudes and brought to a peak by populistic exploitation of discontent with the establishment.
參考文獻
Roger Mortimore, Gideon Skinner, and Tomasz Mludzinski, “‘Cameron’s Problem with Women’: The Reporting and the Reality of Gender-Based Trends in Attitudes to the Conservatives, 2010-2011,” Parliamentary Affairs 68, no. 1 (2015): 97-115, doi:10.1093/pa/gst031
Ian McAllister and Donley T. Studlar, “Bandwagon, Underdog, or Projection? Opinion Polls and Electoral Choice in Britain, 1979-1987,” Journal of Politics 53, no. 3 (August 1991): 720- 741, doi:10.2307/2131577
Patrick Sturgis et al., “An Assessment of the Causes of the Errors in the 2015 UK General Election Opinion Polls,” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society) 181, no. 3 (June 2018): 757-781, doi:10.1111/rssa.12329
Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien, “Election Polling Errors across Time and Space,” Nature Human Behaviour 2, no. 4 (April 2018): 276-283, doi:10.1038/s41562-018-0315-6
Harvey C. Mansfield, “Democracy and Populism,” Society 32 (1995): 30-32, doi:10.1007/BF02693334.
延伸閱讀
- 羅至美（2018）。Brexit and Its Implications for European Integration。問題與研究，57(3)，1-52。https://doi.org/10.30390/ISC.201809_57(3).0001
- 葉耀聰（2022）。An Analysis of the Populism's Impact on Constitutional Democracy。臺北城市科技大學通識學報，(11)，105-131。https://www.airitilibrary.com/Article/Detail?DocID=P20130705004-202203-202204150006-202204150006-105-131
- 楊子政（2012）。From Base to Superstructure: Revisions and Developments of the British Left's Theory and Politics。思與言：人文與社會科學期刊，50(1)，1-70。https://doi.org/10.6431/TWJHSS.201204.0001
- 李怡秋（2007）。Electronic Voting and Democratic Participation－The Lessons from Recent British Experiments〔碩士論文，國立中央大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://www.airitilibrary.com/Article/Detail?DocID=U0031-0207200917345529
- Greven, T. (2021). U.S. Party Politics and the Peculiar Nature of American Populism. Taiwan Journal of Democracy, 17(1), 67-87. https://www.airitilibrary.com/Article/Detail?DocID=18157238-202107-202107200009-202107200009-67-87