柔道團體賽出賽排序之分析－以無體重限制之擂台賽制爲例

目的：探討柔道無體重限制之團體擂台賽制，在不同基本變項、出賽位置與體重分佈的差異情形；方法：以參加2007年日本金鷲旗高校柔道大會(KINSHUKI high school judo tournament)514隊3443位選手為樣本，進行描述性統計與平均數差異檢定。結果：就整體而言，在出賽位置與體重的排序上，呈現先鋒(SENBOU)最輕，其次為次鋒(ZIHOUU)、中堅(TYUUKEN)、副將(HUKUSYOU)及大將(TAISYOU)的趨勢；在勝負率方面，不同性別略有差異，整體而言大將勝率最高，其次為先鋒。結論：出賽順序可依體重輕重由前至後依序排列；但如再以實力為考量時，則應將最好的兩位選手分別置於大將及先鋒以獲得較高的勝算。

關鍵字

柔道；出賽排序；擂台賽

並列摘要

Purpose: To discuss the differences between different population variables, match orders and weight distribution in no-weight-restriction judo tournament (each player competes until he/she loses in the team competition.). Method: Taking a sample of 3,443 players from 514 teams in 2007 Japan KINSHUKAI high school judo tournament to inspect the descriptive statistics and the differences in average. Result: On the whole, the tendency is that, in the match order and weight order, the 1st player (SENBOU) is the lightest, next is the 2nd player (ZIHOUU), then is the 3rd player (TYUUKEN), then is the 4th player (HUKUSYOU) and the last is the 5th player(TAISYOU). As far as the winning percentage is concerned, there is little discrepancy between the sexes, and on the whole, the 5th player has the highest winning percentage ahead of the 1st player. Conclusion: Match order can be determined by weight, beginning with the lightest player and ending with the heaviest player. However, when ability is taken into consideration, in order to achieve a better chance of winning, the two strongest contestants should be placed in the first and last position.