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Prediction of Land Surface Temperature (LST) Changes within Ikom City in Nigeria Using Artificial Neural Network (ANN)

摘要


Land Surface Temperature (LST) is one of the factors associated to urban heat rise and micro climatic warming within a city. Researches relating to the development new technologies or the improvement on the existing ones are very important in urban climate studies. This paper expounds our study on the simulation and prediction of specific future time LST quantitative trend in Ikom city of Nigeria using Feed Forward Back Propagation Artificial Neural Network technology. This study was based on time series ANN model that takes a sequence of past LST values, understand the pattern of change within the dataset and further predict or future time values. Similar studies have been carried out in this manner from our literature review but none used earth observation time series satellite data of a coarse resolution epoch interval for LST time series prediction using ANN. The novelty of this study centers on the attempt to predict some specific future time LST values city-wide using ANN from past LST values derived from earth observation remote sensing imagery (Landsat 7 ETM). The results derived from this study reaffirm the efficiency of ANN (part of deep learning technologies) in learning, understanding and making accurate predictions from a non-linear chaotic real world complex dataset.

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