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聯合國實踐「新干涉主義」的局限性:從1990~2018年國際間貿易、軍售情形觀察政治權力關係

The Limitations of the United Nations' Practice of "New Interventionism": Observing Political Power Relations from the International Trade and Arms Sales Between 1990 and 2018

摘要


冷戰結束至21世紀初期,出現新的國際安全局勢和挑戰,最大的威脅是國家內部的族群衝突、內戰或是政府失靈所造成的人道災難,「新干涉主義」便是在這樣的背景下興起。然而,國際干涉的行動中,聯合國介入的程度卻有所不同,例如:科索沃事件中,國際派駐軍隊介入;反觀,敘利亞內戰,在聯合國會議上,卻因為中俄行使否決權,而避開聯合國的干涉行動。因此,聯合國是否干涉國際違權事件,應與安理會常任理事國跟被干涉國間的互動有關。本文以15個國家為研究對象,假設「雙方的『國際貿易』與『軍售數量』關係,將影響聯合國干涉程度」。以數據統計「各國與國際的貿易及軍售關係」,並資料彙整比較各國發生違權事件時,受到「國際干涉程度」之高低,發現當兩項自變數皆高或低時,兩者呈負相關;當僅一項自變數偏高時,常任理事國的利益權衡將影響國際干涉程度。研究結果顯示「新干涉主義」以道德之名行人道干涉,但是實踐過程中深受現實主義影響,成為強國合法干涉他國的工具。

並列摘要


From the end of the Cold War to the beginning of the 21st century, the new international security situation and challenges come, the biggest threat is the humanitarian disaster caused by ethnic conflicts, civil wars or government failures within the country. It is the background of the new interventionism. However, in the interfering actions with international conflicts, the degree of interventions by United Nations are different. For example, in the case of Kosovo, international troops are involved in interventions; On the other hand, because of China or Russia exercised the veto in the UN meeting, Syria avoided UN's intervention in the civil war. Therefore whether the United Nations interferes with international violations should be related to the interaction between the permanent members of the Security Council and the intervened countries There're fifteen cases in this study, which assumes that "the relationship between "international trade" and "arms sales" will affect the degree of UN interference". Based on the statistics of "the international trade and arms sales between countries ", and comparing the level of "international interference" on the violation of human rights. When the two variables are both high or low, they're in negative correlation. And when the self-variable is only one high, the level of international interference is still affected by united nations security council interests. The study found that the new interventionism intervenes in the name of morality, but it is still deeply influenced by realism in practice, and it will finally become a tool for the powerful country to legally interfere in other countries.

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