民進黨兩岸政治協商主張之研究

Study of Propositions of the Democratic Progressive Party in Cross-Strait Political Negotiation

馬文鈺(Wen-Yu Ma)

指導教授 ： 周繼祥

國立臺灣大學/社會科學院/國家發展研究所/碩士(2012年)

https://doi.org/10.6342/NTU.2012.10354

摘要

馬英九總統於2011年10月17日黃金十年記者會說明兩岸互動為「先經後政」，並正式提出屬於兩岸政治協商範疇的「兩岸和平協議」；民進黨亦於十年政綱中再次提出「兩岸和平穩定互動架構」，政治協商顯已成為兩岸三黨未來無法迴避且必須面對的議題。
台灣歷經二次政黨輪替，完成相當接近Samuel P. Huntington所提出的「雙翻轉測驗」（twoturnover test）民主鞏固標準，對民主深化的現今台灣而言，在野的民進黨可能透過定期的民主選舉，成為台灣的執政黨，在成熟的兩黨政治環境下，民進黨在野時的政策主張對國內政治局勢仍有舉足輕重的影響，若未來民進黨取得政權，民進黨對兩岸政治協商的主張更將成為台灣的立場。因此民進黨對兩岸政治協商的主張，勢將影響兩岸未來政治協商的可能演變與發展。
研究採用文獻分析法、深入訪談法，以及比較研究法，透過訪談民進黨內對兩岸政策制定、決策過程中具影響力者，了解現今民進黨對兩岸政治協商的主張。研究發現，民進黨黨內似已對「不預設對話前提，雙監督、雙公投」此主張取得高度共識，以及另有隱而不宣的「待時空環境背景成熟才進行協商」的附加內部共識。研究最後試圖提出政策與後續研究建議，期待民進黨對於兩岸政治協商的主張能為更多數的台灣人民所接受，並為兩岸關係的和平發展帶來增益。

關鍵字

兩岸關係 ； 民進黨 ； 民進黨派系 ； 兩岸政治協商 ； 兩岸和平協議 ； 中國政策

並列摘要

On his “Golden Decade” press conference on October 17, 2011, President Ma Ying-Jeou explained that when interacting with Mainland China, the government would address “economic issues before political ones”. Ma also proposed the possibility of entering into a cross-strait peace agreement. In the meantime, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) also proposed the establishment of a “Framework of Cross-Strait Peace and Stability” in its 10-year political platform. It seems that political negotiation has become an inexorable cross-strait issue for the three major political parties in Taiwan.
After two political turnovers, democracy in Taiwan has become more stable according to Samuel P. Huntington’s “two-turnover test”. With the quadrennial presidential election in Taiwan, the opposition party, the DPP, has the opportunity to become the ruling party. With a mature bi-party political system in place, as the opposition party, the DPP has already had a significant influence on Taiwan’s politics with its political propositions. If the DPP takes over the reins of government in the future, its cross-strait policies would become the official policies of Taiwan. In such a case, its propositions in cross-strait political negotiation would certainly determine the direction and development of cross-strait relations between Taiwan and Mainland China.
The study adopted documentary analysis, in-depth interview and comparative research methods. To learn about the DPP’s propositions in cross-strait political negotiation, the DPP members influential in the policy-making of cross-strait relations were also interviewed. The study found that the DPP members have reached a consensus for “dialogues without preconceptions, dual-supervision and dual-referendum”. In addition, another implicit consensus was that cross-strait negotiation should wait until the time is right and an appropriate setting is ready. Suggestions for future policy-making and studies were made in hope that the DPP’s cross-strait policies would be better accepted by the people of Taiwan and benefit a peaceful development of cross-strait relations.

並列關鍵字

cross-strait relations ； Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) ； political faction(s) within DPP ； cross-strait political negotiation ； cross-strait peace agreement ； China policy

參考文獻

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