從象徵意義上看香港2047之未來意象

香港自從回歸中國大陸以後雙方有一段蜜月期，但伴隨而來的是文化以及語言上的隔閡，進一步激化矛盾的是一系列社會問題的出現如:雙非孕婦、把普通話作為香港主要的語言、明日大嶼的發展計劃。在政治方面在2003年香港可以為維護國家安全進行基本法23條立法。而香港市民為了阻擋基本法23條的立法組織了回歸後第一次大規模的遊行活動，從而成為了香港市民爭取普選這一政治獨立自主運動的導火線。2014年由於爭取雙普選失敗爆發了雨傘革命，而香港社會的街頭運動也轉為活躍。到了2019年的反對逃犯條例修訂草案運動是香港市民對於中國大陸政治上的不滿達到最高點。2020年港版國安法的生效意味著香港社會只容得下服從國家的聲音，其他的反抗或是反對政府的聲音都會被政府打壓，並且利用意圖顛覆國家政權、危害國家安全等羅織罪名。這個轉變也使得香港人覺得自己的經濟命脈掌握於國家的手上，香港市民對於國家的不滿同時演變為對政府的不滿。而政府作為國家與地區溝通的橋樑但是沒有好好扮演好調解的角色。導致了香港市民對香港特區政府的信任度開始下降。因此以香港市民對於香港政府信任度及經濟的繁榮度為變量使用未來學方法中的情節分析推測出香港未來不同的情節。關鍵字：香港; 中國大陸;政府信任度;未來學;情節分析

關鍵字

香港；中國大陸；政府信任度；未來學；情節分析

並列摘要

Hong Kong be back to the mainland China, They have a close relationship times, however culture and language have a different degree , so that create a couple of social problem ,for example : "anchor babies in Hong Kong"take the Putonghua to Hong Kong first official language、Lantau Tomorrow Vision. About the politics ,2003 Because of maintain national security Hong Kong government push Hong Kong Basic Law Article 23 . But Hong Kong citizen frighting the law the last stop the law. The is first time Hong Kong citizen organized the largest demonstration After Hong Kong return to Mainland China. That’s begin the Hong Kong citizen frighting on the politics . 2014 Hong Kong protests was broken. Till to 2019 Anti-Extradition Law Amendment Bill Movement, the Hong Kong citizen is the largest disappointed for their Government. 2020 Standing Committee of the National People's Congress pass the “Hong Kong national security law”, that means Hong Kong Just only one voice , About the economic ,The Hong Kong Government push the plan of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area. So that Hong Kong major trade partner since world change to Mainland China. Hong Kong citizen feel the change is submit the advantage and life to Mainland China. Therefore who angry with the government none of anything to do buff the citizen and country. The result is citizen the largest disappointed the government . so the citizen to government trust and the economic prosperity this two part create a double driver and use futures studies method-scenario analysis to predict the Hong Kong future in different story . According to “TKU Personal Information Management Policy Declaration“, the personal information collected on this form is limited to this application only. This form will be destroyed directly over the deadline of reservations.