本研究主要是探討國家的區域衝突、軍事防禦能力與國民軍事負擔對於國防預算之影響,研究根據「各國的軍備概況」(The Military Balance)所列167個國家1989年至2006年相關軍事及國防預算資料進行實證,使用資料分析方法為:敘述統計、變異數分析加以說明介紹及概述使用目的,並以階層迴歸分析(Hierarchical Regress Analysis)方法作一整體的結構探討,以了解各項變數間與國防預算的關連性,實證分析研究結果如后:一國之國防預算受到軍事防禦能力與國民軍事負擔能力的顯著影響。組織結構比及海、空軍高科技的軍種,其為影響國防預算規模之最大因素,二者影響並提高國防預算規模之需求。國民所能負擔的軍費額度愈高,則國防經費得獲得率也相對的提高,經濟層面影響國防預算有正向影響。國軍必須朝向現代化、專業化不斷配賦新式武器裝備,國防預算仍需有一定規模程度。 就國防管理意函而言,軍事防禦能力對於國家安全有其優先性,但是國民軍事負擔能力的解釋力高於軍事防禦能力,故國防負擔是國人承擔的國防經費,它是國防經費供給的限制,當人民基於安全考量願意負擔較高的國防支出,則國防預算額度亦會相對提高。本研究以國家防禦能力、面對衝突情況與國民負擔軍費之意願等條件分析建軍方向,找出影響國防預算的因素,視為另一種思考國防預算需求之模式,可提供各國國防主管部門在國防預算編列及建軍政策制定之參考運用。
This research mainly is inquire into the national district conflict, military defence ability and citizen’s military burden for the impact of the defense budget, the usage analysises system is:Whole structure study by stratum regression analyse, to understand various variables and the articulate of the defense budgets. A the defence budget of the country is under the influence of military guarding against the ability and citizen military burden ability obvious. Organization structure the one who compare and sea, armed services of high technology air force, in order to affect the biggest factor of the defence budget scale, it twos affect and raise the demand of the defence budget scale.The military expenses limit that citizen can bear is more high,then the defense appropriations have to acquire the rate is also opposite to raise,the economic level impact defence budget has just to impact. The military defence ability has it to have the initiative to the national security, the military defence ability has it to have the initiative to the national security, this search finds out the factor of affecting the defence budget, providind the national defense competent department of all countries to arrange in order and set up the for reference usage of the military administration plan establishment in the defence budget.
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