Title

林產品關稅減讓對台灣林產工業的影響:可計算一般均衡模型的應用

Translated Titles

Impact of Tariff Reductions on Forest Products Industry in Taiwan: The Application of Computable General Equilibrium Model

DOI

10.30064/QJCF.200409.0006

Authors

劉建谷(Chien-Ku Liu);郭迺鋒(Nai-Fong Kuo);許景翔(Jiing-Shyang Hseu)

Key Words

林產工業 ; 關稅減讓 ; 可計算一般均衡 ; GTAP模型 ; 貿易自由化 ; Forest products industry ; Tariff reduction ; General computable equilibrium ; GTAP model ; Trade liberalization

PublicationName

中華林學季刊

Volume or Term/Year and Month of Publication

37卷3期(2004 / 09 / 01)

Page #

303 - 315

Content Language

繁體中文

Chinese Abstract

過去幾十年來,林產品的全球貿易規模持續擴張,而且區域經濟組織陸續成立,再加上以世界貿易組織(WTO)為中心的多邊貿易協定,全球貿易愈自由開放,林產品關稅持續降低,這將衝擊台灣及全球其他林產品貿易國。本研究利用全球貿易可計算一般均衡分析模型(Global Trade Analysis Project, GTAP),實証分析關稅減讓對各國林產品貿易值、產出及實質GDP的影響。分析結果顯示台灣的實質GDP將於林產品關稅降低後增加2,775萬美元,但全球以印尼的實質GDP增加最多,約一億多美元。台灣的林產工業亦將受惠於貿易自由化,尤其是漿紙工業,其生產值將增加4,186萬美元,其出口則將增加3,240萬美元。

English Abstract

This study investigated the effects of tariff liberalization on the global forest sector by using a computable general equilibrium model, based on the standard Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model and its database, version 5. Tariff reductions in the forest products would generally cause Taiwan's real GDP to increase by 27.75 million US dollars. The real GDP of Indonesia would increase most in the world, by more than one billion US dollars in the long run. Taiwan's forest products sector would benefit from trade liberalization. Especially for the pulp and paper industry, the production value would increase by 41.86 million US dollars, and the export value would increase by 32.40 million US dollars.

Topic Category 生物農學 > 農業
生物農學 > 森林
生物農學 > 畜牧
生物農學 > 漁業
Times Cited
  1. 黃鈺軒(2013)。國際林產品出口貿易競爭力及其影響因素分析。臺灣大學森林環境暨資源學研究所學位論文。2013。1-81。