Translated Titles

The Measurement of Latent Variables and Its Effects: An Analysis of Taiwanese Attitudes on the Independence-Unification Issue in 2013




蔡宗漢(Tsung-Han Tsai);林長志(Chang-Chih Lin)

Key Words

測量誤差 ; 廣義潛在變數模型 ; 貝氏統計 ; 統獨立場 ; measurement error ; generalized latent variable models ; Bayesian methods ; independence-unification issue



Volume or Term/Year and Month of Publication

22卷1期(2015 / 05 / 01)

Page #

71 - 107

Content Language


Chinese Abstract


English Abstract

In this article, we focus on the measurement of Taiwanese attitudes on the independence-unification issue, and argue that, when analysts are not certain about how measurement errors influence the results of analysis, the best way is to take measurement errors into account in their analyses. Based on the methodology of generalized latent variable modeling, we treat Taiwanese attitudes on the independence-unification issue as unobserved, latent variables, which are measured by several manifest indicators, and evaluate the effect of these attitudes on party identification. Analyzing survey data from the Taiwan's Election and Democratization Study (TEDS) project conducted in 2013, we show that, first, Taiwanese attitudes on the independence-unification issue includes three types: principled supporters of independence, conditional supporters of independence, and conditional supporters of unification. Second, as shown in most of the studies on Taiwan politics, the stronger the voters prefer unification, the more likely they lean toward pan-blue parties, and vice versa.

Topic Category 社會科學 > 政治學
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