台灣氣候變遷的關鍵議題

Critical Issues of Taiwan's Climate Change

許晃雄(Huang-Hsiung Hsu) ； 周佳(Chia Chou) ； 吳宜昭(Yi-Chao Wu) ； 盧孟明(Mong-Ming Lu) ； 陳正達(Cheng-Ta Chen) ； 陳永明(Yung-Ming Chen)

《台灣醫學》 16卷5期 (2012/09) Pp. 459-470

https://doi.org/10.6320/FJM.2012.16(5).02

摘要

本文摘自國科會台灣氣候變遷科學報告2011，藉由以下五個議題，提供台灣氣候變遷的相關資訊：（1）相對於全球的氣候變遷趨勢，臺灣整體的變遷趨勢如何？（2）颱風、暴雨、乾旱、熱浪、寒潮等災害性天氣受氣候變遷影響的程度為何？未來是不是會更為劇烈或頻繁？（3）氣候變遷與聖嬰現象、北極振盪等氣候變異（外界通常解讀為異常氣候）的關係？（4）臺灣近年來的災害似乎有越來越嚴重的趨勢，與氣候變遷的關係為何？（5）臺灣氣候變遷未來推估的可信度為何？政府和民眾該如何利用或解讀相關訊息？

關鍵字

台灣氣候變遷 ； 氣候變遷推估 ； 不確定性 ； 極端天氣 ； 自然災害

並列摘要

This is an excerpt from the Scientific Report of Taiwan Climate Change published by the National Science Council in 2011. This article summarizes critical information related to climate change in Taiwan through a Q&A format. Five critical questions are raised and answered in the article: (1) What is the overall climate trend in Taiwan relative to the global climate trend? (2) To what degree have the severe weather events (such as typhoon, heavy rainfall, drought, heat wave, cold surge) been affected by the climate change? Will they become more frequent and severe? (3) What is the relationship between climate change and climate events such as El Niño, Arctic Oscillation? (4) How is the natural disaster, which has been becoming more serious in recent years, related to the climate change? (5) What is the confidence level of the projected future climate in Taiwan? How should the government and the general public use or interpret information regarding climate change?

並列關鍵字

Taiwan's climate change ； climate projection ； uncertainty ； extreme weather ； natural disaster