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Multiparty Democracies and Rapid Economic Growth a Twenty-first Century Breakthrough?

並列摘要


This essay examines whether developing countries with competitive multiparty democracies may be just as capable of sustaining rapid economic growth as single-party states. It begins with a literature review identifying political stability and the ability to mobilize labor and capital production inputs as key factors behind sustained rapid growth. It then develops the hypothesis that under certain conditions, multiparty democracies may be strong in these dimensions, but ceteris paribus, single-party states are likely to have an advantage. I test this hypothesis by exploring historical trends in rapid growth over the last five decades. Statistical regression analysis confirms that most sustained high-growth regimes have not been competitive multiparty democracies. On a more optimistic note, however, the number of high-growth multiparty democracies increased significantly during the period between 2000 and 2009, signaling a possible breakthrough in the twenty-first century.

參考文獻


Friedrich List, The National System of Political Economy (London: Longmans, Green, and Co., 1885)
(World Bank, “World Development Indicators On-Line Database” (2011) http://www.worldbank. org (accessed March 31, 2011)).http://www.worldbank. org
(Democracy and Dictatorship Revisited Database' (2009) https://netfiles.uiuc.edu/cheibub/www/DD_page.html (accessed May 10, 2011)).https://netfiles.uiuc.edu/cheibub/www/DD_page.html
Jan Teorell, Nicholas Charron, Marcus Samanni, Sören Holmberg, and Bo Rothstein, “The Quality of Government Dataset, version 6Apr11,” University of Gothenburg: The Quality of Government Institute (2011) http:// www.qog.pol.gu.se (accessed June 7, 2011)
Bank, World(1993).The East Asian Miracle: Economic Growth and Public Policy.New York:Oxford University Press.

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