「一帶一路」倡議風險管理初探

The Preliminary Study of Risk Management of ＂One Belt and One Road＂ Initiative

羅健銘(J. M. Lo) ； 韓慧林(H. L. Hai) ； 黃湘岑(H. T. Huang) ； 林佳芸(C. Y. Lin) ； 林匯芳(H. F. Lin)

《危機管理學刊》 15卷2期 (2018/09) Pp. 21-32

https://doi.org/10.6459/JCM.201809_15(2).0003

摘要

中國大陸的「一帶一路」倡議，對參與其中的國家期望找到更緊密區域性經濟與政策的連結，是一重要機會與挑戰。若成功將增加國與國的連結，增加國際性投資、貿易與人民的交往，且為執行此專案，中國大陸創立「亞投行」與「絲路基金」，以提升參與度。本研究應用失效模式與效應分析(FMEA)，結合「政治、經濟、社會、科技」(PEST)因素分析，提供決策者更多量化決策數據，提出一套動態風險管理模式，與快速應急作為，以降低風險之衝擊。

關鍵字

一帶一路 ； 地緣經濟戰略 ； 失效模式與效應分析

並列摘要

China's One Belt, One Road initiative is an important opportunity and challenge of building international connectivity for their participated countries as it seeks closer economic and political ties with the region. If successfully, it will increase connectivity among the countries to boost international investment, trade and the movement of people. In order to implement the projects, China has already initiated the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and the Silk Road Fund to promote it abroad. This paper proposes a blended method, which is with failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) and ＂Political, Economic, Social, Technology＂, PEST analysis. It is able to provide an insight of problem with quantitative result for decision-maker. We will set an effective procedure of the dynamic risk management models. The quantitative study will make an quick emergency operations and measures in order to reduce the impact of risks.

並列關鍵字

OBOR ； Geo-economic Strategy ； FMEA

參考文獻

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