台灣工業與服務業部門的平均薪資對失業率影響之研究

The Study of Influences for the Average Wages of Taiwanese Industry and Service Department to Unemployment Rate

林瑞山(Ruey-Shan Lin)

《北商學報》 15期 (2009/01) Pp. 83-101

https://doi.org/10.29871/JNTCB.200901.0006

摘要

失業率是一項重要的經濟與社會議題，也是政府規劃達成經濟成長率的重要貢獻指標。由於近年來台灣的失業率一直居高不下，所以降低失業率則成為新政府的重要施政方針。而平均薪資不但為員工的生活所得，亦是企業經營的經濟成本，更是一個國家的國際競爭力之重要指標。由於過去的研究指出，提升平均薪資可以提高經濟成長率的另一個重要貢獻指標－勞動生產力，因此本研究乃參酌菲力普曲線之工資率與失業率之關係，進一步地探討內涵更為複雜的平均薪資與失業率的關係。實證結果發現：台灣工業與服務業部門的平均薪資會負向且顯著地影響當期的失業率。因此結論是：提高平均薪資不但可以降低失業率，也可以提升勞動生產力，都有助於經濟成長率目標的達成，故，建議政府與企業可以積極地採取任何促進平均薪資提升之措施。

關鍵字

平均薪資 ； 失業率 ； 自我回歸整合移動平均 ； 轉移函數 ； 時間序列

並列摘要

Unemployment rate is not only an economic and social important issue, but also an important contribution indicator in achieving economical growth rate's goal which is government planning. In recent years, the unemployment rate has stayed at a high level in Taiwan, so reducing the unemployment rate becomes the new government's important administration policy in Taiwan. Average wages is not only staff's life obtained, but also the enterprise's management cost, and even a country's international competitiveness important indicator. Past researches pointed out that increasing the average wages may raise the labor productivity which is another significant contribution indicator of economical growth rate. This paper refers to the Phillips curve and further discusses with the relationship of average wages and unemployment rate. Through empirical analysis, finding that Taiwanese industry and service department's average wage is significant affecting the unemployment rate. The paper's conclusion is that increasing the average wages not only may reduce the unemployment rate and raise the labor productivity, and help to achieve the economical growth rate's goal. Therefore, suggested that the government and the enterprise may adopt any measures which can promote the average wages.

並列關鍵字

average wages ； unemployment rate ； ARIMA ； transfer function ； time series