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  • 學位論文

尼加拉瓜市場的出口部門的國內生產總值,居民消費價格指數,匯率出口產生影響

An Impact of Gross Domestic Product, Consumer Price Index, Exchange Rate and Exports on the Imports Sector in the Nicaraguan Market.

指導教授 : 林鳳儀

摘要


由於過去幾年,尼加拉瓜的國際交流經歷了一個非常穩定的增長步伐。有很多的影響這一結果的因素,但我們需要進一步研究,可以看出,他們的進口和出口的和不穩定的增長過程中的增長速度同期吃虧。 本文包括使用多元線性回歸來分析這些因素的影響,並了解與進口需求的變量的關係。這些變量可以共同提名為國內生產總值(GDP),居民消費價格指數(CPI),匯率和滯後出口。這項研究的結果,通過使用我們提出的模型,它的希望來演示的決定因素對進口尼加拉瓜的需求的相關性。 此外,所有需要此研究的數據將被從2005至2013年期間收集的三個月裡,為了有一個更好的了解,並評估在進口的尼加拉瓜市場的需求,這些因素的影響

並列摘要


Since the last couple of years, Nicaragua’s international exchange has undergone a very steady growth pace. There are a lot of factors that influence this result, but as we take a further look, it can be observed that their imports and their exports have suffer from and unstable growth during the same period of growth pace. This paper involves the use of multiple linear regression to analyze the impact of these factors and understand the relation of the variables with the demands of imports. These variables can be commonly nominated as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Consumer Price Index (CPI), exchange rate and lagged exports. With the result of this study and by using our proposed model, it’s hoped to demonstrate the relevance of the determinants towards the demand of imports in Nicaragua. Furthermore, all the data required for this study will be gathered from the periods of 2005-2013 by trimester, in order to have a better understanding and to evaluate the impact of these factors in the demand of imports in the Nicaraguan market.

參考文獻


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