- 學位論文
財政收支劃分法之政治經濟分析
The Political Economy of The Law of Subdivision of Financial Income and Expenditure
摘要
本文從經濟角度出發並配合台灣政治經濟形態與特性，針對民國九十一年之財劃法修正案與同年二月十九日通過之覆議案進行立委投票行為之研究，以期尋求影響立委投票行為之影響因素；此外，本研究模型設定將政策的形成內生化，藉此了解在臺灣的政治生態中，能夠影響法案決策的內生變數為何？對於未來我們了解法案制定之操作過程能夠有進一步的了解。本文利用probit模型進行實證分析，研究結果顯示在國民黨主導之財劃法修正案投票結果中，政黨對投票行為有正向影響，而在財劃法覆議案中為負向影響；此外，選舉行政區之產業結構對於財劃法修正案為負向影響。本文亦嘗試針對刪除全國不分區立委樣本進行分析，希望在財劃法修正案與覆議案的研究中，透過代表區域利益之區域立委樣本研究，觀察出影響立委投票行為之區域利益變數為何？根據研究結果顯示，在刪除全國不分區立委樣本之後，影響立委投票行為之因素除了政黨與選區產業結構之外，立委連任次數也是影響立委投票行為之因素，並且為負向影響。由於民國八十九年我國政治體制在經歷政黨輪替之後，國會中沒有任何政黨掌握過半數席次，在此情勢下國會運作模式產生了重大的變化，尤其在此次覆議案表決中，「泛藍」與「泛綠」兩大陣營全力動員投票，顯示出我國國會政黨欲掌握多數力量之角力鬥爭是必然的趨勢，而政黨領導與政黨合作等因素，將對朝野政黨在重大議案表決中，扮演著決定性的關鍵因素。
並列摘要
In this paper, we establish a model of congressional voting behavior for the political economy of Taiwan. The purpose of this paper is to find out the factors, which influence on the congressional voting behavior in the disputant bills. In brief, we attempt to transform the exogenous form of a policy into an endogenous form. We use the probit model to estimate the congressional voting behavior in this paper and the empirical result shows that the party has a positive effect on the amendment of “The Law of Subdivision of Financial Income and Expenditure”. Besides, the industrial structure of population has a negative effect on the congressional voting behavior. Furthermore, we try to delete the data of the nationwide legislators, and then re-test the voting behavior of the regional legislators. We can find out the regional interests variables, which influence the voting behavior through the estimation of regional congressional voting behavior. According to this data, the empirical result shows that the tenure of legislators has a negative effect on the congressional voting behavior. Finally, form this study we can find that the party is the most important variable influence the congressional voting behavior in the political economy of Taiwan. In other words, the party plays a decisive role in the process of legislation.
參考文獻
延伸閱讀
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